World Cup Goalscorer Betting: Mbappe to see France through
Using expected goals (xG) data, Infogol's analyst picks out the best goalscorer bets in Saturday's World Cup action, with the last 16 getting under way...
"With his speed and trickery, he could give Nicolás Otamendi a torrid time, and given Mbappe has accrued the most xG of any France player at this tournament, he looks a good bet to open the scoring."
Infogol on Kylian Mbappe
Mbappe to help France through
France vs Argentina
Live on BBC One and ITV
A mouth-watering opening last 16 tie which sees two huge footballing nations go head to head.
France didn't really get out of second gear in Group C, whereas Argentina needed a late winner over Nigeria in order to get to this stage after another turbulent period.
Both of these teams are expected to approach the game with a degree of caution, so don't expect a lot of goal-mouth action.
The Infogol model - and Betfair odds - suggests that France have the better chance of advancing, which is understandable given Argentina's displays so far this tournament, and that Argentina were actually fortunate to qualify.
France have the potential to cause a fragile Argentina defence plenty of problems, and one player that may have more joy than others is the exciting Kylian Mbappe.
With his speed and trickery, he could give Nicolás Otamendi a torrid time, and given Mbappe has accrued the most xG of any France player at this tournament, he looks a good bet to open the scoring.
Outsider Cáceres worth chancing
Uruguay vs Portugal
Live on BBC One and ITV
Another exciting tie at this early stage of the competition, with two of the best teams defensively taking each other on.
With that in mind, goals may be at a premium here.
There are plenty of obvious shouts to score what could be a crucial goal in this game, with Luis Suárez, Edinson Cavani and Cristiano Ronaldo all aiming to leave their mark on this game, but it's hard to split them.
As this is expected to be a very tight game, and with a trend in the competition so far for set-piece goals, the deadlock may be broken via this method once more.
Step up Martín Cáceres. So far at this World Cup, Cáceres has been averaging 0.36 xG per 90, which is a very high number for a defender.
His chances have come from set-pieces, and if his process remains consistent, he can be expected to get at least one good chance in this game, so backing him to score at anytime is the selection.
Infogol's 2018 World Cup P/L