World Cup Goalscorer Betting: Falcao and Batshuayi worth backing
Using expected goals (xG) data, Infogol's analyst picks out the best goalscorer bets in Thursday's World Cup action, with England playing Belgium in their final group game...
"Colombia captain Radamel Falcao got his first ever World Cup goal in that last game, and has racked up the most expected goals of any Colombian player – getting on the end of more and better chances than anyone else."
Lewandowski to get his goal
Japan vs Poland
Live on BBC Two
Japan come into this game needing just a point to go through, but were fortunate to draw 2-2 against Senegal, as they conceded plenty of chances.
Though Poland have been disappointing and are already eliminated, their performances haven't actually been that bad.
They created some good chances against Colombia, and against Senegal, and will want to put in a good performance in this game to salvage some pride.
Robert Lewandowski is yet to score at this World Cup, but he has had chances. A top striker like Lewandowski is unlikely keep letting chances slide by, and is worth a punt to open the scoring in this game.
Falcao to lead Colombia through
Senegal vs Colombia
Live on BBC One
Senegal and Colombia both have designs on qualifying from Group H, with the Africans needing only a point and the South Americans probably needing to win (can still progress with a draw with some other premutations).
Colombia impressed in their 3-0 success over Poland last time out, and Infogol data suggests they will prove too strong for Senegal here.
Colombia captain Radamel Falcao got his first ever World Cup goal in that last game, and has racked up the most expected goals of any Colombian player - getting on the end of more - and better - chances than any of his teammates.
Falcao is averaging 0.71 xG per 90, and should get chances in this game, so backing him to open the scoring is the selection here.
Batshuayi to score in Rom's absence
England vs Belgium
Live on ITV
There is plenty of optimism surrounding these teams after both have cruised through Group G. including thumping wins last time out.
The main talking point around this game is not the match itself, but the potential routes for the winner and runner-up of the group.
It appears as though England aren't too bothered about this, and they want to maintain their momentum, but it has been suggested that Belgium may rest key players.
While this may appear to sway things in England's favour, it is worth remembering how good Belgium's squad is, and any player brought in will be trying to stake a claim for a starting berth in the Last 16.
One of those expected to get a start is Michy Batshuayi. The Chelsea man came on to great effect against Tunisia, and scored the fifth goal in the 5-2 romp.
In the 30 minutes he was on the pitch, he racked up an incredible 2.30 xG all to himself, showing that the forward can find himself in great scoring positions.
Infogol's 2018 World Cup P/L