Brazil v Belgium
Live on BBC One
Seleção looking imperious
Four down, three to go: that's the balance sheet so far for Tite's Brazil side. And while you might accuse another team looking at it that way of counting their chickens (cough cough England cough), the reality is that the Seleção arrived in Russia with the clear ambition of securing the Hexacampeonato - their much-anticipated sixth title. The fate of Germany, Argentina and Spain has only strengthened the feeling that the World Cup is there for the taking.
It's now three 2-0 wins on the spin, each slightly more impressive than the last. For now, Brazil are still very much a 'moments' team, really coming to life in three or four devastating spells rather than dominating games from start to finish. But when your defence is as solid as theirs (Alisson has only made four saves all tournament), those moments are usually going to be enough.
The bad news for Brazil ahead of this quarter-final is that Casemiro, the defensive watchdog in midfield, serves a suspension. But Fernandinho is a superb deputy, and Tite has been boosted by the return of Marcelo after a back issue. The Real Madrid man has been given the nod at left-back, despite Filipe Luís performing well when covering.
Belgium won't die wondering
Whatever you think of Roberto Martínez's managerial acumen, you cannot deny the entertainment value of his teams. Belgium are the top-scorers in Russia, with 12 from their four games to date, while their only clean sheet came against an England reserve side, minus shooting boots. The last-16 game against Japan summed them up perfectly: there were gaps and signs of weakness everywhere, but also the individual quality to dig them out of a hole.
In normal circumstances, you would predict a more circumspect approach against stronger opponents. But it's not clear whether Martínez has that in his locker, so Belgium's best chance here is probably to turn this into a slugging contest and hope that their attacking big-hitters land more telling blows. Much, then, will turn on whether Eden Hazard, Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne can unlock one of the tournament's best backlines.
Brazil to book semi-final spot
Brazil, you imagine, will have been salivating at the sight of Japan tearing Belgium apart on Monday night. Huge spaces opened up down the flanks and in front of the back four, and it's hard not to see Neymar, Philippe Coutinho and a revived Willian enjoying themselves on the counter-attack when the Red Devils commit men forward.
At the other end, Thiago Silva and Miranda will offer far more resistance to Belgium's forwards than the defenders of Panama, Tunisia and Japan mustered. It might not be enough for Brazil to keep a fourth straight clean sheet, but they look like good value to win this inside 90 minutes at 2.26/5.
Neymar can explode into life
He was roundly - and rightly - criticised for his play-acting against Mexico, but Neymar also put in another sparky display in attack for Brazil, opening the scoring and teeing up Roberto Firmino's late second.
The Paris Saint-Germain man is clearly finding his rhythm after a slow recovery from injury and will want to make his mark in the knockout stages having been forced out of Brazil's last World Cup quarter-final, against Colombia four years ago. 2.3811/8 is a good price given his record.