Friday International Football Tipsheet: Comfortable night for Belgium against Scotland

Belgium manager Roberto Martinez
Roberto Martinez looks set for a comfortable night as Belgium take on Scotland
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Dan Fitch picks out his best bets from Friday's Nations League and International Friendly matches, with a total of seven selections across the evening...

"Italy have both scored and conceded in all of their games under Mancini."

Back both Italy and Poland to score at [2.3]

Europa Nations League and International Friendlies
Friday, September 7

Kosovo can continue winning streak

Azerbaijan [2.08] v Kosovo [4.4]; The Draw [3.25]
Kick off 17:00, Live on Sky Sports Football

Kosovo come into this fixture off the back of four straight wins, so it's strange to see that they are the big outsiders here. They have not conceded a goal for three games and won 3-0 away at Albania in their most recent outing.

With Azerbaijan in mixed form in 2018 (W2 D2 L2), the value lies with the visitors. Back Kosovo in the Draw No Bet market at [3.15].

Recent foes meet again

Albania [2.3] v Israel [3.65]; The Draw [3.15]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Red Button

These two sides were in the same World Cup qualifying group, but it's hard to draw conclusions from their encounters. Israel won 3-0 away in Albania, while the Albanians won by the same scoreline in the reverse fixture.

With both teams in poor form it seems best to stay away from markets relating to match odds. Goals certainly seem easier to predict, with Albania having conceded seven in their last two matches. Go for over 2.5 goals at [2.7].

Maltese can get draw

Faroe Islands [1.78] v Malta [6.2]; The Draw [3.35]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Red Button

The Faroe Islands find themselves in the unfamiliar position of being favourites in this match, thanks to a run of five games in which they've only lost once (W2 D2). They are unbeaten at home during this period and host a Malta side without a win in their last ten games.

It should be noted though that Malta changed manager in the summer. Since Ray Farrugia was appointed, they have drawn away at Armenia and lost narrowly to Georgia. Take a chance on them avoiding defeat with a draw at [3.35].

Back goals from both teams

Italy [1.78] v Poland [5.8]; The Draw [3.5]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Football

This is the first competitive game that Italy have played since appointing Roberto Mancini as manager. So far under the new coach they have beaten Saudi Arabia, lost to the World Cup winners France and drawn with Holland.

Italy have both scored and conceded in all of these games, which is a pattern that may continue against a Poland side that are in decline but still have some dangerous attackers. Back both teams to score at [2.3].

Serbs too good for Lithuania

Lithuania [7.2] v Serbia [1.58]; The Draw [3.9]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Despite going out of the World Cup during the group stage, Serbia proved themselves to be a good team. They tested both Switzerland and Brazil, before ultimately succumbing to defeat.

It's likely that they will prove to be too strong for League C of the Nations League and win promotion. They should kick off their campaign with a win over a Lithuania team that are without a win in four games (D1 L3) and are available at just about a big enough price at [1.58], to be worth backing to win.

Tough task for Scots

Scotland [6.6] v Belgium [1.53]; The Draw [4.2]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Main Event

This friendly fixture sees Scotland taking on a Belgium side that reached the semi-finals of the World Cup. Even without the services of the injured Kevin De Bruyne it promises to be something of a mismatch, with Scotland having only won one of their last six games.

Four of those matches have seen Alex McLeish in charge of Scotland, in what is his second spell in charge (W1 L3). It seems likely that Belgium will inflict another defeat and are [2.38] to win to nil.

Revitalised Russians will score in Turkey

Turkey [2.3] v Russia [3.45]; The Draw [3.25]
Kick off 19:45, Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Turkey seem to be finding some form under Mircea Lucescu. They are unbeaten in five matches, of which the most recent game was a 1-1 away draw with Russia prior to the World Cup.

Russia exceeded expectations at the tournament, only losing on penalties in the quarter-finals to the eventual runners-up Croatia. With Turkey having conceded in each of their last four and Russia having received a boost in confidence, back both teams to score at [2.1].

Dan Fitch 2018/19 Season P/L

Staked: 53.00 pts
Returned: 50.57 pts
P/L: -2.43 pts

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