Nations League Tipsheet: Belgium will beat Swiss in entertaining match

Belgium manager Roberto Martinez.
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There's another round of UEFA Nations League fixtures on Friday and Dan Fitch is expecting Belgium to defeat Switzerland in a game full of goals...

"Switzerland are currently top of the group after crushing Iceland 6-0 and with Belgium being unreliable at the back, there should be goals in this match."

Back Belgium to beat Switzerland and both teams to score at [3.0]

UEFA Nations League, Friday 12 October

In-form Luxembourg the value choice

Belarus [1.65] v Luxembourg [7.0]; The Draw [3.65]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Luxembourg are the surprise leaders of League D, Group 2, having won their opening two matches against Moldova and San Marino. Their form stretches back further than this tournament, with the minnow nation only losing one of their last eight games (W5 D2) and claiming a draw in Paris against the current world champions France, when they met in the World Cup qualifiers last year.

Belarus are also in good form, losing just one of their last seven (W3 D3), but given the price of Luxembourg, the value clearly lies with the visitors. Back them to avoid defeat in the Double Chance market at [2.4].

Belgian victory but will concede

Belgium [1.5] v Switzerland [7.6]; The Draw [4.6]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Both Belgium and Switzerland beat Iceland in their opening games in League A, Group 2. Having finished third at the World Cup, it's the Belgians that are expected to win and take a major step towards making the knockout stages of the Nations League.

Switzerland are currently top of the group after crushing Iceland 6-0 and with Belgium being unreliable at the back, there should be goals in this match. Go for both teams to score and Belgium to win at [3.0].

Another win for Finland

Estonia [4.0] v Finland [2.2]; The Draw [3.1]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Estonia are without a point at the bottom of League C, Group 2 and now must host a Finland side that are top, after claiming two wins. The most recent of those victories came against Estonia in the reverse fixture, in which Finland won 1-0.

Finland are in great form, losing only one of their last twelve games (W8 D3). This run includes a 3-0 win against Estonia in a friendly last year and their price of [2.2] to make it a hat-trick of victories is just about big enough to recommend.

Clean sheet for Greeks

Greece [1.76] v Hungary [5.5]; The Draw [3.4]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Sandwiched between Finland and Estonia in League C, Group 2, are Greece and Hungary, who both have three points. It was Hungary that won the match between the two sides in September, leaving the Greeks now looking for revenge on home turf.

Hungary have not won away from home in two years, so Greece should be able to avenge their recent loss. Greece have kept clean sheets in each of their last three victories and can be backed at [2.62] to win to nil.

Yet another defeat for San Marino

Moldova [1.1] v San Marino [34.0]; The Draw [11.5]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Both Moldova and San Marino are yet to win either of their two games in League D, Group 2. It's the home side that are the overwhelming favourites, despite being on a 15 match run without a win (D5 L10).

That's probably because the last team that Moldova did beat was indeed San Marino, who have lost 26 consecutive games. San Marino's last nine matches have seen them concede three goals or more, so back Moldova with -2.5 goals in the Asian Handicap market at [1.9].

Dan Fitch 2018/19 Season P/L

Staked: 53.00 pts
Returned: 50.57 pts
P/L: -2.43 pts

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