Wolves v Cardiff: Bluebirds have lost their chirp

Wolves boss Nuno Espirito Santo can guide his side to a bounceback win
Wolves boss Nuno Espirito Santo
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Wolves can inflict another heavy defeat on Cardiff this Saturday, says Dave Tindall...

"Cardiff have started to lose matches by widening margins and each of their last five defeats would have been by at least two goals but for a 90th-minute consolation at Arsenal."

1pt Wolves -1 at 6/4 (Sportsbook)

Wolves v Cardiff
Saturday, 15:00

Wolves will want to wipe out Wednesday woe

Wolves have had an excellent return to the top flight, gaining 40 points so far to sit eighth in the table. But every so often they throw in a stinker, as was the case in their injury-time defeat to bottom club Huddersfield in midweek.

That's six points they've shipped to the Terriers this season while boss Nuno Espirito Santo will be very aware that they risk the same fluffing of lines against Cardiff having lost 2-1 in the Welsh capital back in November.

Wednesday's loss ended a run of eight games without defeat so, overall, Wolves have done plenty of good work since losing at Man City in mid-January.

Cardiff going the wrong way

Cardiff have defied gravity for much of the season, climbing clear of the drop zone against all expectations.

But things can turn quickly and back-to-back heavy home defeats against Watford (1-5) and Everton (0-3) combined with a victory for Southampton on Wednesday and the Bluebirds are where most expected them to be - in the bottom three and on target for a swift return to the Championship.

It's been tough on and off the pitch for Neil Warnock and his men and it doesn't look set to get any easier with Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool three of their next five opponents.

A victory over Wolves earlier in the season is cause for optimism but individual errors are creeping in and Warnock can only do so much with the hand he has to play.

Take Wolves to respond

"We came from a good run but we have to bounce back. We are very cautious that what happened today cannot happen again." The words of Nuno Espirito Santo after the defeat to Huddersfield.

Wolves are just [1.52] to bounce back and grab three points, while Cardiff are [8] and The Draw [4.4].

The encouraging thing for Wolves backers made a little wary by the Huddersfield slip is looking at the hosts' record following a defeat.

Their last three losses were against Man City, Crystal Palace and Wolves but they followed each defeat with a victory in the very next match. Clearly, this is a team which responds well and I expect that to continue on Saturday.

Cardiff have started to lose matches by widening margins and each of their last five defeats would have been by at least two goals but for a 90th-minute consolation at Arsenal. It means I'll bump up the basic home win price by backing Wolves -1 at 6/4.

I wouldn't rule out it being a particularly forgettable night for the visitors so Wolves -2 is also worth a dabble at 4/1.

The hosts stuttered at Molineux in the early part of the campaign but have won four of the last five at home.

Cardiff, meanwhile, have conceded three goals in 11 different Premier League matches so, if they don't score, the Wolves -2 definitely becomes a runner.

Goal count could be high

The Unders/Overs is quite close but I like Over 2.5 goals at the odds-against price of [2.06]. It's landed in five of Cardiff's last six games and they're capable of finding a goal.

Wolves' three recent away matches were tight affairs but add in the filter of Molineux and four of the last five have featured three goals or more.

Same Game Multi

Raul Jimenez is the obvious first port of call here as he's by far Wolves' leading scorer. The Mexican has netted 12 times and eight of those have come at Molineux. It's 2.68 for Jimenez to score in a Wolves win.

Opta Stat

Cardiff City have registered a pass accuracy of just 64.2% this season, the lowest tally by a Premier League team in a season since Stoke City in 2010-11 (64%).


Dave Tindall's P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 100.50pts
Returned: 80.57pts
P/L: -19.93pts

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