West Ham v Tottenham: Hammers rate as gigantic value to stun Spurs

Big Sam can conjure up a home win at a huge price
Big Sam can conjure up a home win at a huge price
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Lewis Jones thinks he has found "one of the bets of the season" at Upton Park as he is banking on Sam Allardyce to mastermind a third victory over Tottenham this campaign...

"There’s no point beating around the bush, West Ham are an absolutely gigantic price for victory here at 4.47/2. Over the course of the season, I haven’t found many better value bets than this one.

"Yes, they’ve lost five on the spin, yes the atmosphere at Upton Park is predicted to be quite poisonous, but this is exactly when Allardyce’s teams are at their odds-defying best. Just when you think he’s had it, he miraculously conjures up a majestic performance from his side."


West Ham v Tottenham
Saturday May 3, 12:45 KO
Live on BT Sport 1


West Ham United

Manager Sam Allardyce was again feeling the force of West Ham's supporters following their 1-0 defeat to West Brom last weekend.

Saido Berahino scored the only goal of the game as the Hammers lost their fourth straight match. They have also failed to score in the last 230 minutes of Premier League football.

Opta tells us that if West Ham lose this match it will be the first time since May 2011 that they've lost five top-flight games in a row. Desperate times for Allardyce, but you'd be a fool to completely rule out West Ham in this one.

More on that breaking news, later in the show.


Tottenham

Tottenham are seemingly in pole position for a top-six finish with two games to go, however, it was with great intrigue that I identified that they were trading as short as 1.171/6 to sew up sixth place.

With a rejuvenated Manchester United on their tail, I'm very much advocating a strong lay on that skinny price.

United are six points behind Tottenham but have a game in hand and are well equipped to take maximum points from their last three games against Sunderland, Hull and Southampton under Ryan Giggs.

Despite steadying the ship at White Hart Lane, Tim Sherwood hasn't exactly made Spurs bombproof and you always feel they're a tad vulnerable against supposed lesser sides.

Under Sherwood's guidance the north Londoners have lost away at Norwich, drawn at Hull and West Brom and only scraped past Cardiff 1-0 at the start of March.

This match followed by a home tie against Aston Villa, who are a far better proposition away from Villa Park, aren't exactly two gimmes and just one defeat from those games will open the door United to squeeze into sixth as their goal difference is far greater.

Either lay Spurs at 1.171/6 or back United at 4.94/1.


Match Odds

There's no point beating around the bush, West Ham are an absolutely gigantic price for victory here at 4.47/2.

Over the course of the season, I haven't found many better value bets than this one.

Yes, they've lost five on the spin, yes the atmosphere at Upton Park is predicted to be quite poisonous, but this is exactly when Allardyce's teams are at their odds-defying best.

Just when you think he's had it, he miraculously conjures up a majestic performance from his side.

He was odds-on to be sacked earlier in the season after losing 5-0 and 6-0 to Nottingham Forest and Manchester City, respectively, but just as when the axe was seemingly swinging above his head, West Ham won all their games in February.

Sam Houdini is a master at escaping danger.

Anyway, it's hard to judge West Ham too harshly over the last month or so.

They've had to play Man Utd, Liverpool and put up a spirited first-half performance at Arsenal, where they were good value to head in at half-time 1-0 before the Gunners struck.

Defeats against Sunderland and Crystal Palace have rightly been met with disdain from the locals but this West Ham side are capable on their day, especially at home where they have won six times this season.

It's also worth pointing out that West Ham have a 100% record against Spurs this season too, winning 3-0 at White Hart Lane in the top flight back in October and then 2-1 at the same ground in the League Cup in December.

Spurs have the third best away record in the league behind Liverpool and Man Utd but they have won just one of their last seven games away from White Hart Lane in all competitions as Sherwood's aggressive tactics on the road can leave them exposed at the back.

Anyone who wants to go against me can get 1.9520/21 on an away win and 3.7511/4 on the draw.


First Goalscorer

Andy Carroll is the footballer equivalent of Marmite. You really do either love him or hate him.

I'm more in the love camp, although he's not really my type. Carroll is instrumental to West Ham's chances of winning football matches. When Carroll plays with gusto, West Ham play with gusto.

His presence and aerial ability make him unique in the fact that he can actually win a game on his own when served with the right ammunition.

He's a must for the England World Cup squad, where around a better quality of player, he'll be a strong option from the bench.

West Ham do have quality in wide areas of their own in Stewart Downing and Matt Jarvis and they may find a route to Carroll in this clash as Spurs are very suspect in the full-back areas with Danny Rose and Kyle Naughton.

Carroll has scored in both previous meetings with Tottenham as a West Ham player and looks decent value at 8.07/1 to open the scoring in what is shaping up to be a surprise home victory.


Recommended Bets

Back West Ham to beat Tottenham @ 4.47/2
Back Andy Carroll to score first @ 8.07/1
Lay Tottenham for a top-six finish @ 1.141/7


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