West Ham v Huddersfield: This will be a home win but it won't be a hammering
West Ham have been good at home and should beat Huddersfield but don't expect a landslide, says Jamie Pacheco.
"West Ham aren’t really a team to go out and thrash someone, whatever the circumstances, so covering the 1-0 and 2-0 with that selection certainly looks the way to go."
West Ham v Huddersfield
Saturday March 16, 15:00
Strong recovery from West Ham
If West Ham finish the season in ninth with everyone buying into Manuel Pellegrini's ideals and after having kept Marco Arnautovic at the club against all odds, it will have been a pretty decent season, especially after such a poor start.
They seem to have become comfortable at their new stadium as well, at last, which certainly took its time and they finally seem to have lots of different options upfront, which hasn't always been the case.
There's plenty to build on for next season then where a Top 8 finish and maybe a deep run in either of the Cups will surely be their target.
Huddersfield already thinking about next season
Huddersfield are one of those sides that not many football fans have a problem with. They don't really cause any trouble on or off the pitch, they're not a dirty side nor do they set out just to stop other teams from playing.
The problem is they're not very good. Everyone will have their theories as to why it somehow worked last year but didn't this time round, with 'second season syndrome' probably being just about the most plausible explanation.
One interesting detail is that they have used the greatest number of players of anyone in the league (29) alongside Southampton (Opta). Is that just a desperate attempt to find something that works through trial and error? Or are they finding out as much as they can about everyone in the squad with a view to life in The Championship next season?
It's not hard to make a case for a home win at 4/7. The Hammers have beaten the Terriers in all of their last three home games, West Ham haven't lost a Premier League home game against the side bottom of the table since 2007 and they've won their last two at home. These stats are from Opta and there are others that suggest that anything other than a win for Pellegrini's boys is unlikely but the price is a little short for a team sitting in ninth, even if they are playing the side who's rock bottom.
It's one thing backing a Liverpool or Manchester United that price, it's another backing a side that doesn't quite have that winning habit.
But it's a very different prospect to back them at 12/5, which is what you can get by backing them to win with under 2.5 goals in the match. Just one of their last six league games has gone over 2.5 goals (a 3-1 win over Fulham) and their last home game ended wit a 2-0 win over Newcastle.
Huddersfield are somewhat unlikely to score, given they've failed to do so in each of their last five away days. They've also managed to avoid defeat just once in their last eight on the road so it looks a pretty safe bet they won't get a goal here.
West Ham aren't really a team to go out and thrash someone, whatever the circumstances, so covering the 1-0 and 2-0 with that selection certainly looks the way to go.
Pellegrini has been extremely reluctant to play two out-and-out forwards in Javier Hernandez and Marco Arnautovic. It tends to be one or the other with the Mexican getting the nod over the past few matches and the Austrian coming off the bench at some stage.
It's anyone's guess which of the two will start here so it's advisable to swerve both the 11/10 on Arnautovic and the 11/8 on Hernandez until the team sheet is released.
The Hammers' top scorers is neither of these, though. That honour falls to Felipe Anderson who has eight, one more than the former Stoke man and three more than the ex-Man Utd striker. Anderson is therefore arguably a more attractive price at 15/8 given he's also a certain starter.
If you want to push the boat out a bit more then how about Declan Rice at 8/1? He has two goals already, both were at home, and he almost scored last week with a superb long-range effort that hit he post. He's also just been called up by England so may have that extra bit of confidence to go for goal.
Over in the same-game multi bet section you can get with West Ham to win the match (4//7) and that man Anderson to score (15/8) at odds of 3.43 and that should give you a decent run for your money.
Jamie's 2018/19 Premier League P and L
Points Staked: 42.5
Points Returned: 42.93 pts
P/L: +0.43 points