Jose Mourinho takes his new team Tottenham to his old stomping ground in the pick of Wednesday night's Premier League games. Mike Norman has a trio of recommended bets...
"The Lilywhites have won three out of three under their new boss, have scored 10 goals in the process, and some of their big names - none more so than Dele Alli - appear to be relishing the new challenge of playing for a new boss."
Blues a price worth taking on
Chelsea [1.32] v Aston Villa [11.5]; Draw [6.2]
I'm keen to take on Chelsea here, and not just because they've lost back-to-back league games. Though that does help of course.
The reason I believe this game could be a much trickier affair than the odds suggest is because Aston Villa are a team that I always fancy to get among the goals, and away from home they've scored plenty this season.
Dean Smith's men scored six at Crewe in the EFL Cup, three at Brighton, two at Arsenal, five at Norwich, and two at Old Trafford on Sunday. What's more Villa have scored against Tottenham and Liverpool this season proving that not only do they have goals in them, but they're not afraid to hit the back of the net when facing one of the big clubs.
As mentioned above Chelsea have lost back-to-back league games but when you take a closer look at their form at Stamford Bridge it's not exactly brilliant. Frank Lampard's men have won just one of their last four on home soil, and prior to that they needed a late winner to edge out Newcastle.
Also consider that to start the new season, Chelsea failed to win any of their first four games at the Bridge meaning their overall record on home soil this term (all competitions) reads P11, W4, D3, L4. And one of those four victories was against League Two Grimsby in the EFL Cup!
I just feel that Lampard's men are too short in the Match Odds here, and that if you can see Villa getting on the scoresheet - and I can - then the home side will have a tough task landing those short odds.
Improving Spurs too good for dull United
Man Utd [2.84] v Tottenham [2.7]; Draw [3.55]
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's latest admission that he's not concerned about Manchester United's league position really does defy belief. For me anyway.
He regularly talks about being the United manager for years to come because he speaks to Ed Woodward on a daily basis, and that he has no reason to believe his job is in danger. The same United hierarchy had no hesitation in getting rid of Louis van Gaal and Jose Mourinho, managers with much more experience and success than Solskjaer.
Only time will tell if the Norwegian is correct to back himself and truly believes that he's not concerned about United's league position but as an outsider looking in, I'd be very concerned if I were in his shoes.
United have won just two of their last six games at Old Trafford, and believe it or not that is where their best form is. At a similar price to Spurs in the Match Odds on Wednesday night I simply have to back the away team.
The Lilywhites have won three out of three under their new boss, have scored 10 goals in the process, and some of their big names - none more so than Dele Alli - appear to be relishing the new challenge of playing for a new boss.
True, Tottenham are still conceding far too many goals but I sense Mourinho will sort that out before too long and that his men will be in the thick of a top four finish battle until the end of the season. A win over dull United on Wednesday night can prove to be another step in the right direction.
Don't bank on a classic Merseyside derby
Liveprool [1.4] v Everton [9.2]; Draw [5.5]
I'm not a huge fan of backing Under 2.5 Goals, and I'll never go near that option when the price is odds-on, but at just shy of 6/4 I simply have to take my chance in this match.
Let's be honest, no game featuring Liverpool right now is going to have the Under 2.5 Goals options as favourite. Jurgen Klopp's men may not be at their brilliant best right now, but they regularly score goals and just about do enough to win games, but they also concede plenty.
There will be many out there who consider Over 2.5 Goals a bit of a banker at around [1.65] on current form and goal stats. But it's not for me.
Form generally goes out of the window in these type of games and they rarely go to script. It's sure to be an edgy affair for both teams, and Everton will almost certainly get men behind the ball and dig in.
But just look at the last three meetings between these two sides - all played at a time when the Reds were the dominant team and regularly among the goals - and you can understand why Under 2.5 Goals at [2.48] is a player. Those three games finished 0-0, 1-0 and 0-0.
In addition to the above, five of the last six Merseyside derbies in the league have finished with two goals or fewer being scored, and an average of just 1.6 goals per game have been witnessed in the last 10 Premier League meetings between these two famous sides.
*You can follow Mike on Twitter - @MikkyMo73
Mike's 2019/20 Season P/L:
Staked: 56 pts
Returned: 46.45 pts
P/L: -9.55 pts
- 2018/19 P/L = +10.97 pts from 112 pts staked (9.79% ROI
- 2017/18 P/L = +20.09 pts from 128 pts staked (15.69% ROI)
- 2016/17 P/L = +42.63 pts from 160 pts staked (26.64% ROI)
- 2015/16 P/L = +14.99 pts from 234 pts staked (6.4% ROI)
- 2014/15 P/L = +35.30 pts from 215 pts staked (16.42% ROI)
Lay Chelsea in Match Odds @ [1.33] v Aston Villa
Back Tottenham @ [2.7] to beat Man Utd (best bet)
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.48] in Liverpool v Everton