Newcastle's results have been improving as Watford's are deteriorating, but expect those sequences to stall...
"Six of Newcastle’s eight road reverses under Steve McClaren were suffered without them netting, while they fired a blank in their sole draw on their travels too."
Watford 2.1411/10 v Newcastle 3.953/1; The Draw 3.55
The Hornets have leapt straight from their best run since promotion to the Premier League, winning four in a row before drawing away to Chelsea, to their worst, losing four top-flight fixtures on the spin.
It was arguably only the latest one at struggling Swansea which was seriously disappointing though, as 2-1 defeats to Champions League aspirants Tottenham and Manchester City - both inflicted in the final seven minutes - and a 2-0 reverse at Southampton would all have been expected at the start of the season.
This is their opportunity to show that they are victims of circumstance rather than a fading force and there are no new injury worries to derail them, with sidelined duo Lloyd Doyley and Joel Ekstrand both long-term absentees.
The story of Newcastle's campaign has been that they are the side who "don't get what they deserve", regularly playing well simply to be hustled out of points that should rightfully be theirs.
If that depiction was accurate, it is slowly being transformed after they recovered from 2-0 and 3-2 deficits to earn a draw against Manchester United and then scored twice in the opening 15 minutes for a far easier victory than anyone had anticipated against top-six-dwelling West Ham.
Any sense of unluckiness has been transferred from the turf to their treatment table, which is the most populated in the Premier League. Left back is the area where the situation is gravest, with Paul Dummett, Kevin Mbabu and Massadio Haidara out and potential stand-in Jack Colback a doubt. Higher up the pitch, Vurnon Anita, Florian Thauvin, Ivan Toney and Papiss Cisse all have injury issues.
As mentioned earlier, Watford are on a Premier League losing streak, but it is significant that slap bang in the middle of those four failures came an FA Cup clash with Newcastle that they won 1-0. It was their second success at the Magpies' expense in four months having also beaten them 2-1 at St James' Park in September, and 2.1411/10 is an alluring price on the hat-trick.
Indeed, Quique Sanchez Flores has completely flipped the head-to-head momentum as his club had gone seven showdowns without conquering the Tynesiders before his appointment last summer.
The Hornets have taken seven points from an available nine at home to bottom-half rivals this term and the setback at Swansea was their first defeat in ten meetings with opponents fitting that description at all venues since returning to the top tier.
Newcastle's miserable total of eight losses in 11 away games under Steve McClaren includes six in seven against teams below the top five, with lowlights including a 3-0 derby dismissal by Sunderland and a 5-1 surrender at Crystal Palace.
Watford Win to Nil
Six of the north-east behemoth's aforementioned eight road reverses under their former England coach were suffered without them netting, while they fired a blank in their sole draw on their travels too. Additionally, a mere fortnight has passed since they were last shut out at Vicarage Road.
Watford have kept clean sheets in all six home collisions across all competitions with teams outside the top eight - indeed the fact that they have six such assignments left bodes well for their chances of a strong finish - and they have won three of their four against guests below their current station of 12th.
Back Watford to win to nil @ 3.55/2