Watford v Hull: Tigers should score even if eating another beating
Both teams to score has to be backed at odds above evens in Watford v Hull, insists Michael Lintorn...
"Hull have netted in all seven of their away matches in all competitions."
Watford [1.79] v Hull [5.5]; The Draw [3.8]
Ref Watch: Jonathan Moss
A home player has been sent off in two of Moss' last four Premier League games. In the two where 22 men remained on the field, there were seven and nine bookings.
The Hornets have won three, drawn three and lost three of Walter Mazzarri's first nine fixtures as a Premier League boss but, like the Bournemouth team that came up with them in 2015 and share that status, they are trending upwards rather than downwards.
After collecting a single point from their opening three encounters, a comeback from 2-0 down to win 4-2 at West Ham in early September has helped them to settle into an encouraging rhythm, resulting in a run of just one defeat in six outings.
Their biggest obstacle right now is injuries, with Craig Cathcart, Brice Dja Djedje, Kenedy, Stefano Okaka and Isaac Success all absent, but there is talk of Daryl Janmaat returning after over a month on the sidelines.
The Tigers stalled until mid-October on the decision to make Mike Phelan their permanent manager after almost three months as caretaker, yet they must already be questioning their decision after his official reign commenced with a 6-1 thrashing at Bournemouth and a 2-0 home reverse to Stoke.
A midweek EFL Cup victory at Bristol City, who have started brightly in the Championship, suggests that the players back him and that it is instead a quality issue most responsible for their flimsy top-flight form. Fear of an instant second-tier return is rising though now that they have dropped into the bottom three.
It is hard to believe they were joint-top in August. However, they are still first in the injury league owing to the unavailability of Allan McGregor, Andrew Robertson, Alex Bruce, Brian Lenihan, Moses Odubajo, Robert Snodgrass, Greg Luer and Dieumerci Mbokani.
It isn't just home advantage that Watford possess in this clash, they are also nine places better off and in far more impressive form, so [1.79] looks like a great price on them pocketing the three points.
Hull are winless in seven Premier League contests and have lost the latest five. That might have been excusable at the beginning of the sequence when it was Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea dishing out the beatings but, as mentioned above, the most recent two came against Bournemouth and Stoke sides that they need to be competing with, and at an aggregate scoreline of 8-1.
Since promotion in the summer of 2015, the hosts have welcomed 13 Premier League guests besides the Big Six and champions Leicester and were only conquered on two of those occasions.
Both Teams to Score
There is one positive for Hull, which is that they have netted in all seven of their away matches in all competitions. They have accompanied that achievement with a single clean sheet - at Swansea in August - yet it is something to cling to at least.
Watford aren't big shutout enthusiasts either, giving up ten goals in five Vicarage Road assignments (one in extra time), but never firing a blank of their own either. It all points to both teams scoring.
Back both teams to score @ [2.08]
And what do Opta say?
Troy Deeney has scored in each of his last three appearances for Watford against Hull - he is [2.5] to profit from their pain once again.