Watford v Tottenham: Entertaining win for the visitors

Christian Eriksen
Christian Eriksen is starting to pull the strings again after a quiet first two matches.
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Both teams have an 100% record so far but Spurs' historical dominance in this fixture should mean more of the same and at least three goals, says Jamie Pacheco...

"So if you’re going to go with the overs option you might consider doubling up with the Spurs win, given those stats suggesting that’s on the cards. Watford could easily have a goal in them here while no-one would be too surprised if Spurs went out and won 3-0 like they did at Old Trafford on Monday night."

Watford v Tottenham
Sunday September2 16:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Watford on a high

What odds on Watford being on nine points after just three matches? Long ones, no doubt. Yes, Brighton, Burnley and Crystal Palace aren't the toughest sides around these days in this league but the fact the great Man City only managed a draw at Wolves last weekend suggests there are few 'gimmes' in the Premier League these days.

Two men have been more responsible for this success than the rest. The first is Javier Gracia, who has now won more home games than any other manager in England's top division since he arrived at Watford, bar Jurgen Klopp. (Opta).

And Roberto Pereyra is the second. The man has pedigree, as you'd expect from a player capped 10 times for Argentina who enjoyed spells at Udinese and Juventus. He's had a hand in nine goals in his last nine appearances for the Hornets, also Opta. Having missed a large chunk of last season with various injuries, he could be their key player this season with Richarlison gone.

By the way, there are more Opta stats ahead of this game here.

Spurs have riches in attack, riches in defence

Spurs are no slouches, themselves. They're also three from three.

For all the talk of Harry Kane, Christian Eriksen and more recently Lucas Moura in forward positions, just look at their defence.

In the right and left back/wing-back positions they have not one but two top class players for each of them. And in the heart of their defence the tough choice is which of Davison Sanchez, Toby Alderweireld and Jan Vertonghen to leave out, hence why Mauricio Pochettino has often played all three.

What some managers wouldn't give to have say, four of those seven. What Jose Mourinho wouldn't give.

You somehow get the feeling that if Spurs are going to contend, properly contend for the title, it has to be this season.

Visitors love this fixture

Tottenham are just 8/13 on Betfair Sportsbook. A good example of the odds-compilers giving vast importance to historical head-to-head results between the two. Most notably the fact that Spurs won 10 and drew the other three across their last 13 meetings with this lot.

That can be the only explanation for such a prohibitively short price on the Lillywhites. Spurs are admittedly the kings of the year 2018 with more points in the calendar year than anyone else in the division (49, cheers Opta) but...still. Both sides are three from three and Watford are at home after all. That's not a price that can be recommended.

It's 9/2 the hosts and 16/5 the stalemate.

Overs looks likely

Given five of the six matches these two sides have played this season have gone over 2.5 goals, it's hard to argue that odds of 3/4 about another game with at least three goals isn't appealing. If you were to throw in the fact that five of the last nine have ended with at least three goals you start to think this one should be far from being a snoozefest.

So if you're going to go with the overs option you might consider doubling up with the Spurs win, given those stats suggesting that's exactly what might happen. Watford could easily have a goal in them here while no-one would be too surprised if Spurs went out and won 3-0, like they did at Old Trafford on Monday night.

It pays 2.3 and you can place it by using the Same Game Multi Bet facility. Not outstanding value but all things considered, pretty likely.

To be shown a card

Jose Holebas is a good player who likes to roam forward and delivers super crosses from both open play and set-pieces. But he's no angel, let's put it that way. He picked up seven yellows last season and 14 the season before. In neither of those campaigns did he come anywhere near playing his full quota of games. This season he has two yellows from three games.

It was a feisty game last week they had at home to Crystal Palace and if there's more of the same you can bet your bottom dollar the left-back/wing-back will be at the heart of the action. He's 23/10 to be shown a card.

On the other wing, Daryl Janmaat is no stranger to a tasty tackle either and is a considerably bigger at 7/2 to get carded.

For Tottenham, England golden boy Harry Kane is 7/1 to get one of his own and after two in three games this season might also be worth a look.

Jamie Pacheco's 2018/19 P and L

Points Staked: 6
Points Returned: 8.9
P/L: +2.9 points

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