West Ham are deep in trouble at the wrong end of the table and Paul Robinson thinks that things won't get any better at Spurs on Tuesday.
"West Ham have now won just one of their last 10 Premier League outings – losing seven of them."
Tottenham v West Ham
Tuesday 23 June, 20:15
Live on Sky Sports
European football not a certainty for Spurs
Spurs looked in relative control on their return against Manchester United on Friday, and while United had the best of the statistics in terms of possession, shots and shots on target, I would argue that Jose Mourinho's side were unlucky to only come away with a point.
The positives for Tottenham were that Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min got 90 minutes of football under their belt, but the fact remains that two dropped points sees them come into this game in eighth place - nine points behind Chelsea in fourth and four behind United in fifth.
It will take a tremendous effort from the Lilywhites to qualify for the Champions League next season, and even the Europa is far from certain.
Worrying times for West Ham fans
It was a bad first weekend back for the Hammers, as they were beaten at home by Wolves, while the teams who now sit directly above them, all picked up at least one point. The only consolation was that the bottom three were all beaten.
David Moyes' men were outplayed by a decent Wolves side at the London Stadium, but it doesn't get much easier here. There was a school of thought that West Ham might be better without the pressure of their supporters in the ground, but that didn't seem to come to fruition at all.
It will be interesting to see what changes Moyes makes to his XI, as they lacked a cutting edge on Saturday, with their first shot not arriving until the 49th minute. Sebastian Haller was missing through injury, but he isn't expected to be out for long.
Hard to get away from a home win
The hosts have been backed in since the market first became available on the Betfair Exchange, and they are now trading at around the [1.71] mark. The draw is [4.1], with the outsider being an away win at [5.6].
Up until Monday morning, there were just three home wins from 11 fixtures since the Premier League returned, but then there would have only been two of three games where the hosts would have been the favourite.
Therefore, at this point I am not too concerned about the whole home advantage thing, as while home wins did also dramatically decrease in the Bundesliga, the number of winning favourites did not.
West Ham have now won just one of their last 10 Premier League outings - losing seven of them. That is relegation form, and it will likely only be the poor form of the teams below them that will save them.
Spurs did enough against United to make me think that the [1.71] is worth backing, and assuming Kane and Son retain their place in the starting XI, I would definitely be interested in investing.
Don't expect a goal-glut
There have been 23 goals across the 11 matches that have been played so far, with six of the 11 seeing Under 2.5 backers collect.
Spurs and West Ham were involved in two of those six, so I am a bit surprised that the Under isn't closer to evens than it is.
The [2.2] available for there to be two goals or fewer does look rather tempting given what we have seen so far. We also know that Jose Mourinho isn't particularly interested in flashy wins, and that David Moyes will always have a defensive-first approach.
Over 2.5 Goals is as short as [1.81], but I really just can't see it.
2019/20 P/L (1pt each bet)
New on Betting.Betfair – Betslip
You can now bet without leaving Betting.Betfair with our brand new on-site betslip for Exchange markets. You'll see the Exchange back and lay prices at the end of articles - simply login and place your bets as you would do on the main Exchange site
Back Tottenham @ [1.71]
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.2]