Tottenham v Man City: Alli to strike again

Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino
Mauricio Pochettino can put one over Pep Guardiola
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Tottenham can give Pep Guardiola another headache when fourth plays first at Wembley on Saturday evening, says Dave Tindall...

"The Spurs midfielder has three in his last four games. He's also netted Wembley goals against Real Madrid and Liverpool while he scored home and away against Man City last season."

2pts Dele Alli to score anytime at 16/5 (Sportsbook)

Tottenham v Man City
Saturday, 19:45 BST

Spurs on a roll

December 16th. That was the last time Tottenham tasted defeat in the Premier League.

Since then, they've won 11 and drawn three, that 36-point haul lifting them into fourth spot going into the weekend - a full 10 points ahead of Chelsea in fifth.

There's simply no question that Spurs are deserving of a Champions League spot again and second place is still a realistic goal even though they're four points behind Man Utd with six games to play.

A reminder though. That defeat back in mid-December came against.... Man City. And it was big one. 4-1.

City on three-game losing streak

The idea of City losing any game of football seemed hard to envisage not long ago.

Now they come into this one after back-to-back-to-back defeats - two against Liverpool in the Champions League and, to many, an equally traumatic 3-2 home defeat to local rivals United when 2-0 up at half-time in a game that would have secured them the title.

The champagne remains on ice and it could well stay there.

To be honest, an away game at Spurs is probably the hardest fixture the computer could have thrown up and a fourth straight defeat is a very realistic possibility with some of their main stars just losing a touch of spark after a long, gruelling season played at high intensity.

Further bad news for City arrives in some key team news as well - Fernandinho misses the game after picking up a ban for 10 yellows, while Sergio Aguero has been ruled out.

Market just favours City

Despite their wobbles, Man City are still 17 points clear of Tottenham so deserve to be favourites at [2.62]. Spurs are [2.78] to add to City's recent woes while the Draw is [3.7].

Should Spurs prevail they'd be beating the Citizens for the third straight time at home.

City's only away Premier League defeat this season came at Liverpool. Overall they've taken a ludicrously high 41 points out of 48 on their travels.

BTTS should land at Wembley

As you might expect, it's one of the shortest 'Yes' prices of the season with BTTS just [1.55]. 'No' is [2.58].

City, the Premier League's top scorers, have shipped eight goals in that hat-trick of defeats to Liverpool and Man Utd so I expect 'Yes' to land. However, I'd rather try and cash in on their still dubious defence by playing the top goalscorer market.

Spurs can edge high-scoring contest

If Man City rather played into Liverpool's hands, they could just do the same against Spurs, who play a similar style to the Merseysiders.

City will enjoy spreading out in Wembley's wide open spaces but they may just struggle to protect themselves at the other end - especially without Fernandinho to shield their vulnerable defence.

I think both sides will find the net but am leaning towards Spurs as the team to take the three points. In which case, there's a perfect bet - Spurs to win and Both teams to Score at 16/5 (Sportsbook).

It's landed in Tottenham's last three Premier League games and I can see it continuing on Saturday evening with so much attacking talent on the pitch. Talking of which.....

Alli can strike again

Dele Alli has been under the microscope this term for not quite living up to last season's heroics but he reminded his of his talents with a well-taken double at Chelsea.

Add that to his strike at Bournemouth and the Spurs midfielder has three in his last four games.

He's also netted Wembley goals against Real Madrid (another brace) and Liverpool while he scored home and away against Man City last season. Alli to net anytime at 16/5 (Sportsbook) looks a very decent price and the standout one for Spurs.

Harry Kane and in-form Christian Eriksen are other options but I like Alli's predatory nature in a fixture like this where the opposition defence gives you a chance.

For Man City, David Silva's last seven goals have been on the road while Raheem Sterling may have fresher legs than most after missing a month of action across February and March.

Silva is 7/2 to strike while Sterling is 21/10 to net at Wembley for the second time this season after scoring in City's 3-0 League Cup win over Arsenal.

Ref watch

Leeds-based Jonathan Moss gets the Wembley gig on Saturday night. He's show 102 yellows and three reds in his 30 games this season, his last time in charge of Tottenham that dramatic 2-2 draw at Anfield when he awarded Spurs two late penalties and booked just one visiting player.

Moss also sent of Sadio Mane in City's 5-0 win over Liverpool and flashed nine yellows (four to City players) in their 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace earlier this season.

Opta stat

Manchester City are looking to avoid back-to-back Premier League defeats for the first time since December 2016.


Dave Tindall's P/L, 2017/18

Staked: 105.00pts
Returned: 80.87pts
P/L: -24.13pts

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