Tottenham v Everton: Toffees can blunt Spurs

Allardyce will look to thwart another big-name rival
Allardyce will look to thwart another big-name rival
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Everton have suffered a dip but they look value to come away with a point away to Spurs on Saturday, says Dave Tindall...

"In two games away to Liverpool, Everton have drawn one and been on the end of a late fairytale winner in the other so, overall, I think there's value in them pinching a point."

1pt Draw at [6.2]

Tottenham v Everton
Saturday, 17:30 GMT
Live on BT Sport 1

Spurs still susceptible at home

With seven wins in nine matches for Spurs, thing are going well for Mauricio Pochettino but they can still throw in a coupon buster at home.

Three wins and two draws in their last five Premier League encounters at Wembley is decent but that run includes 1-1 draws against second-bottom West Brom and 15th-placed West Ham - games they were big odds-on to win.

That latter stalemate means they've taken less home points than any of their top six rivals. It adds a note of caution for a game like this.

Sticky patch for Toffees

Yep, the above headline is an obvious one to roll out now given that the Sam Allardyce bounce effect looks to have worn off.

The two draws against Chelsea and West Brom that were part of an eight-game unbeaten run now form the start of a record which shows no wins in the last five.

True, the latest games of their three straight defeats were at home to Man Utd and away to Liverpool in the FA Cup but, obviously, Spurs are also on a similar level to Everton's last two opponents.

Goalscoring remains a big problem for the visitors so Allardyce will hope new signing Cenk Tosun can make an immediate impact.

Everton big underdogs

Spurs are just [1.29] to take all three points and that's too short for a team who have only won six of their 11 home games.

Both the draw at [6.2] and a shock Everton success at [14] have appeal if you want to be ambitious.

Recent history doesn't help Everton's cause but, although Spurs are unbeaten in the last 10 against the visitors, five of those have been draws. Perhaps the most damning stat in terms of trying to make a case for the men in blue, though, is that Everton have won just one of their last 43 Premier League away games against the big six.

There's 15 draws in that bunch and one of those came at Man City earlier this season.

In two games away to Liverpool, Everton have drawn one and been on the end of a late fairytale winner in the other so, overall, I think there's value in them pinching a point.

Back the draw at [6.2].

A case for Unders

Overs is the clear favourite at [1.73] and it's landed in Everton's last two away games but it did so in the FA Cup match at Anfield despite there being only five shots on target.

Unders has been the outcome in five of Everton's last eight away games and that looks a fairer picture. It could be the better option at [2.22].

Kane could cash in again

The idea of Everton grabbing a point and the goal count being low certainly has logic to it. But, of course, one man could blow that all out of the water.

Harry Kane has already scored two or more in a game 11 times this season and he's bagged a brace in his last two starts against Everton, including a pair either side of the break in Tottenham's 3-0 win at Goodison in September.

He's [4.3] to score two or more on Saturday evening while the hat-trick - a viable option for him more than anyone else in the Premier League - is [10.0].

The other Spurs goalscorer option is Heung-Min Son, who has netted in his last four home Premier League games. The Korean is [2.4] to register again.

For Everton, new signing Cenk Tosun is [4.5] to do a Virgil van Dijk and score on debut while Wayne Rooney is [5.0].

The one worth a play though is Gylfi Sigurdsson at [6.2]. The Icelandic star stroked home a lovely goal at Liverpool and has netted four times in his last ten games.

Last season for Swansea he scored against Man City (twice), Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal so he likes a goal in a big game. Time now for him to bag one against his former employers Spurs.

Ref watch

Craig Pawson is the man in the middle for Saturday evening's encounter.

The South Yorkshire official has shown 77 yellows and four reds in 21 games this season.

He gave Idrissa Gueye his marching orders when Everton capitulated 5-2 at home to Arsenal earlier in the season.

Spurs won't have fond memories of him either as he booked four of their players in the 4-1 loss at Man City last month.

Dave Tindall's P/L, 2017/18

Staked: 73.00pts
Returned: 51.51pts
P/L: -21.49pts

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