Tottenham v Swansea: All three points to stay in North London

The Spurs faithful are dreaming of a Premier League title
The Spurs faithful are dreaming of a Premier League title

Due to their Europa League commitments, Spurs are forced to play on Sunday once again but Paul Robinson doesn't think it will prove to be an issue against Swansea...


"If that’s not enough to convince you then how about the last four scorelines between these two clubs – 2-2, 3-2, 1-2 and 1-3."

Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.0811/10

Tottenham v Swansea
Sunday February 28, 14:05 GMT


Tottenham

Everything is rosy in the Tottenham garden at the moment as they are through to the last 16 of the Europa League and in the process of mounting a serious challenge for the Premier League title.

It's now five straight league wins for Mauricio Pochettino's team and they go into the weekend in second place - just two points behind Leicester. The big one against Arsenal comes next Saturday and if they can win here and then at West Ham on Wednesday, you would have to consider them as the favourites to finish top, no matter how their rivals do.

Harry Kane sat out the match against Fiorentina with a broken nose but he will be back at the weekend and he will be hoping to add to his 16 league goals this season.


Swansea

The Swans had begun to pick up some momentum with back-to-back wins over Watford and Everton in January but it's been just two points taken from a possible nine since, and while they were only beaten once, they only faced West Brom, Crystal Palace and Southampton - two of which came at home.

Away from The Liberty they've actually avoided defeat in three of their last four but with the chasing pack now closing in, they need to start winning more games if they are to avoid an end of season relegation scrap.

Gylfi Sigurdsson has been one of the leading lights and is arguably their best chance of survival. The Icelandic international has netted five times in seven games and he seems to be developing a good understanding with new signing, Alberto Paloschi.


Match Odds
Tottenham 1.4840/85 Swansea 8.615/2 The Draw 4.67/2

It's fairly obvious why Spurs are so short in the betting and while I have no doubt that they have an excellent chance of winning, I'm not interested in backing them at that kind of price.

I do want to get involved in the HT/FT Market though as you can get 4.57/2 about the game being level at half time and Tottenham winning at full time.

That seems quite generous to me, especially as it might take the hosts a while to get going following their exploits on Thursday evening. It should also be considered that they are now in with a real chance of winning the title, so the players' nerves could begin to jangle.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals 2.0811/10 Under 2.5 Goals 1.9210/11

I am a fan of goals in this match so I think over 2.5 at odds-against is excellent value. The hosts are seeing their Premier League fixtures average 2.58 goals each time, which has led to exactly half of them finishing with three or more scored - including three of their last five at The Lane.

Swansea have a lower average at the 2.23 mark, but 12 of their 26 have still seen overs backers rewarded and three of those dozen came from their five most recent away matches.

If that's not enough to convince you then how about the last four scorelines between these two clubs - 2-2, 3-2, 1-2 and 1-3.


Cash Out

A good back-to-lay proposition or 'cash out' if you prefer comes from the Correct Score Market as a 2-1 home win looks to have a bit of mileage in it at 10.09/1.

I don't expect Spurs to hammer Swansea, but I do expect them to win and, as outlined above, I think we should get a few goals.

If that turns out to the case, the 10.09/1 will plummet at some point during the game and a profitable cash out can be made.


Recommended Bets
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.0811/10
Back Draw/Tottenham @ 4.57/2


Best Cash Out
Back a 2-1 Correct Score @ 10.09/1


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