The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Week 12

Can Tottenham ever-present Kyle Walker keep it tight at Manchester City on Sunday?

A trio of the Betting Battlers went into the International break in winning form but it's Dan Thomas who remains way out in front. Will Dan's three pursuers cut into his lead in Week 12 of the Editors' Betting Battle?

"I can see another well organised performance from Tottenham as they look to blunt City's attack so, with Unders trading at well above evens, that's my bet for the weekend."

Dan Thomas: Back Under 2.5 Goals in Manchester City v Tottenham at 2.186/5

Dan Thomas

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Manchester City v Tottenham at 2.186/5
Sunday, 13:30

While they have been mystifyingly poor away from home this season, City have been free scoring in front of their own fans. Indeed, Opta tell us that no Premier League ground has seen more goals scored this season so far than the Etihad (22). It's perhaps with this in mind that the Betfair layers have priced up Under 2.5 Goals at 2.186/5 for the visit of Tottenham, who aren't exactly in the best form right now.

But for me that price screams value as the north London outfit's struggles have been in putting away chances - they have the worst shot conversion rate in the division at 5.7% - rather than defensively, where they have been largely sound.

Apart from the 3-0 aberration against West Ham, every single one of Tottenham's league games this season has gone Under 2.5 Goals, with just five goals scored in the five games away from White Hart Lane. Just one of these was conceded, as AVB's men lost to Arsenal in September.

I can see another well organised performance from Tottenham as they look to blunt City's attack so, with Unders trading at well above evens, that's my bet for the weekend.

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: + £52.89

Joe Dyer

Back the draw @ 3.412/5 in Everton v Liverpool
Saturday, 12:45 

I've laid out my reasoning for backing the draw in the Merseyside derby in 700 words in here but let's recap bullet-point style...

    Everton have lost once in 11 Premier League fixtures 

    They are unbeaten at home

    The Toffees have kept three successive clean sheets 

    Everton have drawn their last two matches 

    Both Merseyside derbies finished a point apiece last season

    Liverpool have drawn two of five away games in the league 

    Daniel Agger is back to add solidity to the backline 

    Luis Suarez might be a little jaded after flying home from Uruguay today 

I can't pick between 'em so the draw it is for me at a decent 3.412/5.  

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: + £1.60

Luke Moore

Back Sunderland to beat Stoke at 4.03/1

At first glance it looks pretty suicidal to back Sunderland away from home, given that they've won just two league games this season and both of those have come at the Stadium of Light.

But Gus Poyet's men have been greatly improved in recent weeks, topped off by that showpiece win over Manchester City, and the return of Wes Brown will be absolutely key in what looks likely to be a war of attrition against what is, in truth, a poor Stoke City team. In actual fact, Sunderland are in better form than Stoke are; Mark Hughes' men have just four points from their last eight league games compared with Sunderland's six.

There is a definite feeling that things are improving at a pretty rapid rate under Gus Poyet, but I don't see the same thing happening at the Britannia. Traditionally Stoke are strong at home, but they've already been beaten by Norwich there this season and, given that Sunderland have a clean bill of health and their tails up, I'm happy to back the visitors at what looks to me to be an inflated price.

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £27.20

Mike Norman

Back Newcastle @ 1.84/5 to beat Norwich
Saturday, 15:00

You can tell the snow is due, I've had two winners on the spin! Hopefully Newcastle can make it three wins on the trot for both themselves and myself when Norwich visit a freezing north-east (I live here) on Saturday.

The Magpies have responded brilliantly from losing to bitter rivals Sunderland last month with victories over Chelsea and Tottenham, both without conceding. Norwich on the other hand have conceded an alarming 15 goals in their last three aways games and I'm of the opinion that Newcastle are full of confidence right now, playing well, and really ought to win.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £52.50

A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission

Editors' Battle P/L

1. Dan Thomas: + £52.89
2. Joe Dyer: + £1.60
3. Luke Moore: - £27.20
4. Mike Norman: - £52.50

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