Aston Villa may score at St Mary's, but they are unlikely to avoid Premier League defeat number 12...
"All four of the meetings between the two at St Mary's since the hosts' return to top flight have seen more than 2.5 goals."
Southampton 1.538/15 v Aston Villa 7.613/2; The Draw 4.57/2
The Saints go into this game on the back of a home 6-1 drubbing at the hands of Liverpool in the Capital One Cup, with this appearing to be an ideal opportunity to put that result behind them.
Losing to the Reds means Ronald Koeman's men have now lost three in a row and they need to get their campaign back on track as soon as possible if they are to match or equal last term's seventh place.
Fortunately for the fans at St Mary's, their side fare well against teams in the bottom half of the table, winning five of their nine games, and all three at home to sides in the bottom eight. Their last two wins came when they were up against the teams currently ranked 17th and 18th, Sunderland and Bournemouth.
They go into this game without Fraser Forster, Florin Gardos and Jay Rodriguez who are all absent with injury, but Jose Fonte may be available after recovering from a knee injury.
Villa's form going into this game is abysmal, as it has been all season, and they have now only picked up one point of the last 30 available.
They haven't won in the Premier League since the opening day, but may take encouragement from that victory happening when they last travelled to the south coast to face Bournemouth.
The Villans have only picked up one point in their seven meetings with teams in the top half of the table and have conceded 16 goals in that run.
Remi Garde go to into this game waiting on late fitness tests on Micah Richards, Gabriel Agbonlahor and Gary Gardner, who could all return, but Ciaran Clark will definitely miss the match through suspension.
Since returning to the Premier League in 2012, Southampton have only lost once in seven clashes with Villa and are unbeaten in their last four games against the Midlands side.
The Villans can't seem to get a win anywhere at the moment, so backing them at 7.613/2 would be hugely optimistic. Therefore, you can't look beyond backing the Saints at 1.538/15 to boss a fixture that they won 6-1 in May against the league's bottom club.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
All four of the meetings between the two at St Mary's since the hosts' return to top flight have seen more than 2.5 goals.
Therefore, backing history to repeat itself at 2.0621/20 is a logical approach, especially as only one of those four matches brought about less than five goals.
One positive for the visitors will be the fact that despite losing three of their last four trips to Southampton, they managed to score in all of those encounters. The Saints have only kept two clean sheets in their last ten matches, so both sets of strikers should be in for a profitable afternoon.
Punters could also be in for some profit if they take note of this and back both teams to score at 2.226/5.
Back over 2.5 goals @ 2.0621/20