Premier League on Betfair: Blues and Spurs in Top Four driving seat

Mike Norman
28 April 2019

Juan Mata opened the scoring for Manchester United on Sunday against Chelsea

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Liverpool and Man City continue to churn out win after win but it's a different story for the clubs chasing a top four finish. Mike Norman has the details...

To record a Top 4 Finish;

- Tottenham 1.081/12
- Chelsea 1.422/5
- Man Utd 3.412/5
- Arsenal 12.5

With the race to win the Premier League title now established as one of the highest-quality battles in history (see below), the fight to finish inside the top four is fast becoming a scrap that none of the contenders seem capable of winning.

Incredibly the four clubs chasing the final two positions inside the top four - Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester United and Tottenham - have mustered just one win between them in their last 12 outings.

That win came courtesy of Spurs - a scrappy 1-0 win over Brighton - who still sit third in the table on 70 points despite a 0-1 home defeat to West Ham on Saturday, the club's first reversal in their new home.

Arsenal were then thrashed 3-0 at Leicester, making it three straight league defeats for Unai Emery's men, while Man Utd and Chelsea played out a 1-1 draw in the Super Sunday game at Old Trafford.

In the hands of Tottenham and Chelsea

With just two games remaining Spurs and Chelsea are in the driving seat to record a Top 4 Finish, with the Lilywhites available to back at 1.081/12 on the Betfair Exchange, while the Blues can be backed at 1.422/5.

Mauricio Pochettino's men are two points ahead of Chelsea, four ahead of Arsenal, and five ahead of United, meaning just one more win from their final two games (Bournemouth away, Everton home) will see them finish inside the top four.

Because of their much better goal difference Spurs could actually fail to win any of their remaining games and still finish in the top four providing that both Arsenal and United don't win their final games of the season.

A minimum of four points will likely seal Chelsea a top four finish, though with Maurizio Sarri's men having a better goal difference than United then one win will be enough to see them qualify for next season's Champions League providing Arsenal don't win both of their games.

The Blues host Watford on Saturday before travelling to Leicester on the final day of the season.

Arsenal can be backed at 3.412/5 to record a Top 4 Finish while United are trading at 12.5. United need to win their final two games (Huddersfield away, Cardiff home) to have any chance of finishing inside the top four, while the Gunners will likely need to win both of their games (Brighton home, Burnley away), or take at least four points and hope for further dropped points by the clubs above them.

As you were... as it's always been

It will perhaps come as no surprise that nothing has changed in the title race. Liverpool won again - 5-0 at home to Huddersfield on Friday night - before Manchester City regained the upper hand by beating Burnley 1-0 in a game that they controlled far more comfortably than the scoreline suggests.

For seemingly a few months now the Premier League Winner market has reflected the fact that if both teams keep winning then it will be the Citizens that will retain their title.

That scenario hasn't changed but with just two games remaining - and the ever increasing likelihood that City will finish the league campaign with 13 straight wins - Pep Guardiola's men have shortened to 1.222/9 to win the title with Jurgen Klopp's men available to back at 5.39/2.

City finish the season with a home game to Leicester and an away match at Brighton while the Reds travel to Newcastle next Saturday before hosting Wolves on the final day.

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