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Premier League Tips: Mancini to win the battle of the two Robbies

It will be interesting to see if either of these two are still in charge next season

"Roberto Mancini’s charges put five goals past Aston Villa last weekend and it’s no surprise that the goals have been flowing again since David Silva’s return from injury."

Back Man City @ 2.75 (7/4)

Paul Robinson is a man in form at present and after tipping up West Brom and Arsenal victories last week, let's see what his early selections are from Betfair's fixed odds markets for this weekend:

Sunderland v West Brom
Back Sunderland @ 2.37 (11/8) 
Back Steven Fletcher to score @ 2.15 (23/20)  

West Brom continued their magnificent home form against Chelsea last weekend, as predicted here, but they are nowhere near as good on the road and I'm taking a resurgent Sunderland to register their third victory of the season.

Martin O'Neill expressed his relief after his side picked up their first league win since September against Fulham on Sunday. Admittedly they were helped by the sending off of Brede Hangeland, but the confidence the players will take from the three points and three goals should enable them to kick on and get back into the form that they showed when the former Villa boss was appointed.

Steven Fletcher netted his first goal in six during that match and I'm taking the £15m man to follow it up with another as he has historically been a bit of a streaky player during his career.

The Baggies may well be fourth in the table but they've had the fortune of playing seven of their 12 fixtures so far at home. Away from the Hawthorns, Steve Clarke's side aren't as impressive; a single victory from five and no clean sheet. Keeper, Ben Foster could still be sidelined through injury and while replacement, Boaz Myhill, has done fine in his absence, I have concerns about his ability to deal with the crosses that Sunderland are likely to put in throughout the 90 minutes. 

Stoke v Fulham
Back Stoke @ 2.15 (23/20)  
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05 (21/10)  

Stoke earned a hard fought point at West Ham on Monday, but I think they should be able to take all three against an under strength Fulham on Saturday.

It's no secret that Tony Pulis's men are very difficult to beat at the Britannia Stadium; undefeated in five this season, and although they've been held to three draws, two of them were against Arsenal and Manchester City. 

The Potters have kept four clean sheets in their five home games to date and their defence was only breached once in the other. Attacking wise, Peter Crouch has netted three times at the Britannia and he will be pleased to see that Fulham's, Brede Hangeland, will be missing through suspension.

Not only does Martin Jol have his captain absent, but he will also be missing Bryan Ruiz and Alexander Kačaniklić through hamstring strains with the Ruiz injury being a huge blow as he's forged a highly effective partnership with Dimitar Berbatov in recent weeks.

A bit like West Brom, Fulham are much better at home than they are away; one victory from six on the road this term, conceding 15 goals in the process. The defensive issues won't be helped by Hangeland's suspension and although they've been prolific themselves, 12 goals during that period, I can see Stoke putting a few past them on Saturday.

Chelsea v Man City
Back Man City @ 2.75 (7/4)  
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 (31/50)  
 
This is the big game of the weekend as the defending champions travel to Stamford Bridge on Super Sunday. 

Chelsea were topping the table after a bright start to their campaign that saw them win seven of their first eight fixtures. They were handed a kind run of opponents though and since things got a little tougher, The Blues have picked up just two points from a possible 12 and have slipped to third place.

Roberto Di Matteo is a man under pressure as not only is Roman Abramovich rumoured to be getting impatient with the only manager to have delivered him the Champions League trophy, but the players themselves were involved in a dressing room bust up after the WBA defeat.

Manchester City are coming into much better form at present, domestically anyway, and the defending champs have won six of their last seven to continue their unbeaten start. Roberto Mancini's charges put five goals past Aston Villa last weekend and it's no surprise that the goals have been flowing again since David Silva's return from injury.

The Spaniard provides the much needed creativity to link the midfield with the strikers as when he's not playing, City often resort to hitting long balls up to Tevez and Aguero et.al and hoping their brilliance can produce something. 

City look like a decent price at 2.75 (7/4) in the match odds market while those looking for a much safer bet can go for Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 (31/50) as that looks well and truly nailed on to me.

Recommended Bets
Back Sunderland @ 2.37 (11/8) 
Back Steven Fletcher to score @ 2.15 (23/20)  
Back Stoke @ 2.15 (23/20)  
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Fulham @ 2.05 (21/10)  
Back Man City @ 2.75 (7/4)  
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Chelsea v Man City @ 1.62 (31/50)  

Prices are based on our Fixed Odds product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2012/13 Season P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 61 pts
Returned: 67.5 pts
P/L + 6.5 pts

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20 November 2012

Premier League

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