Premier League Tips: Canaries to get back on song

Chris Hughton is desperate for three points
Chris Hughton is desperate for three points

Paul Robinson is looking to replicate the form he's been showing in his tips from around the world back in the Premier League and he's taken a look at what the Betfair Sportsbook has to offer. Here are this week's selections:

"Chris Hughton is a man under pressure but his Norwich side have had an exceptionally tough run of fixtures and I’m hugely confident of them getting back on track with a win on Saturday evening."

Back Norwich @ 2.45 (29/20) (Best Bet)

Norwich v West Ham - Live on Sky Sports 1 at 17:30 GMT

Back Norwich @ 2.45 (29/20) (Best Bet)
Back a Norwich clean sheet @ 2.8 (9/5)  

Chris Hughton is a man under pressure but his Norwich side have had an exceptionally tough run of fixtures and I'm hugely confident of them getting back on track with a win on Saturday evening.

The Canaries were excellent in their victory at Stoke at the end of September but since then they've lost four and drawn one of their next five in all competitions. While the defeats were heavy, they did come against Chelsea, Arsenal and the two Manchester clubs - who are arguably the four best teams in the league. They were held 0-0 by Cardiff at Carrow Road but that doesn't quite tell the whole story as Norwich had 31 shots and 61% possession.

Ricky van Wolfswinkel has been ruled out of this clash through injury but Hughton has other attacking options at his disposal and it's perhaps time that former Celtic man, Gary Hooper, will step up to the plate.

West Ham have drawn their last two in the Premier League with a win over Burnley in the Capital One Cup sandwiched in-between. The Hammers are usually considerably stronger at home than they are away, but it's been the reverse this term as Sam Allardyce's side have lost just one of six on the road - winning twice.

I would suggest that these results are a bit of an anomaly though and playing without a striker is going to leave them in trouble in the long run. Aside from the three goals scored at White Hart Lane, in the league they've drawn blanks at Newcastle, Southampton, Hull and Swansea, so not only do I think this will end in a home win, I also like Norwich to keep a clean sheet.

Sunderland v Man City 

Back the draw @ 4.6 (18/5)  
Back a 2-2 correct score @ 19.0 (18/1)  

There aren't many teams who have a better recent record against Manchester City than Sunderland do and they look overpriced to avoid defeat on Sunday.

The Black Cats failed to build on their huge derby win against Newcastle as they shot themselves in the foot at Hull. Lee Cattermole and Andrea Dossena deservedly saw red and they ended up losing 1-0. They did make it through to the last eight of the Capital One Cup on Wednesday night but with just four points from 10 fixtures in the league, they badly need to put some wins on the board.

Steven Fletcher is slowly working his way back to match fitness and the key to their survival could lie with the Scotsman. He's scored double figures in the Premier League in each of the last three seasons and he will need to do so again if Gus Poyet wants to remain a top flight manager.

Manchester City are in flying form at the moment, thanks in no small part to Sergio Aguero. The Argentine forward had a blistering debut year in England but injury and rotation hampered his progress last term. The former Atletico Madrid man already has 13 goals in all competitions and it's only the second week of November.

I have my concerns about Pellegrini's side at the back though and I don't believe that dropping Joe Hart to the bench will put a stop to them. The defence have been just as culpable and they are definitely missing the presence of Vincent Kompany, who has been in and out through injury.

City have won one, drawn one and lost three away from the Etihad this term - shipping nine goals in the process. While many will have this down as an away banker, I'm not so sure and the value is definitely in the draw. For those who like a huge price then a 2-2 correct score is tempting at 19.0 (18/1) as Sunderland have scored in their last seven at home and Man City have netted in their last half dozen away.

Swansea v Stoke  

Back Stoke @ 4.3 (10/3) 
Back Marko Arnautovic to score @ 6.5 (11/2)  

Swansea's poor results have been going under the radar but aside from a win over Sunderland, the Welsh outfit haven't won in the league since September, and Stoke could send things from bad to worse on Sunday.

Michael Laudrup's men edged closer to the knockout phase of the Europa League with a draw in Russia on Thursday but as I said at the beginning of the campaign, that competition could be the un-doing of them domestically.

Not only do the team have to contend with a short preparation time for this match, they are without three key men in Michu, Pablo Hernandez and Michel Vorm. If they have been struggling to win at the Liberty with them - one win since the beginning of March in the league - they certainly aren't going to find it any easier without them.

Stoke have been either very good or very poor this year. That's to be expected as a new manager has come in and completely overhauled the playing style of the team.

Mark Hughes' project is still a work in progress but they earned a draw with the in-form Southampton last weekend, made it through to the quarter-finals of the league cup and were unlucky to go down 3-2 at Old Trafford a fortnight ago. 

One of their goalscorers at Manchester United was Marko Arnautović and the Austrian international looks a real prospect. He's scored twice in Stoke colours this season and he seems like a good bet to make it three at Swansea.

Recommended Bets
Back Norwich @ 2.45 (29/20) (Best Bet)
Back a Norwich clean sheet @ 2.8 (9/5)  
Back a Sunderland v Man City draw @ 4.6 (18/5)  
Back a 2-2 correct score in Sunderland v Man City @ 19.0 (18/1)  
Back Stoke @ 4.3 (10/3) 
Back Marko Arnautovic to score in Swansea v Stoke @ 6.5 (11/2)  

Prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

2013/14 P/L (1pt each bet, 2pts best bet)

Wagered: 63 pts
Returned: 45.32 pts
P/L: - 17.68 pts

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