Saturday Premier League Tipsheet: Struggling Potters to get amongst the goals

Mark Hughes desperately needs goals and a win against West Brom on Saturday
Mark Hughes desperately needs goals and a win against West Brom on Saturday

In-form teams Everton, Liverpool and Man City feature amongst Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League, and here with his four recommended bets from the afternoon games is our regular tipster Mike Norman...


"It doesn't take a genius to notice that the Potters are conceding far too many goals - 13 in four straight Premier League defeats and eight in their two games at the Britannia Stadium."

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.265/4 in Stoke v West Brom

Bournemouth 3.7511/4 v Everton 2.166/5; The Draw 3.55

Possibly to my expense, I'm still not convinced by Everton and I'm happy to oppose them in some way or another when they visit the Vitality Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

As the saying goes, you can only beat what is put in front of you, so fair play to Ronald Koeman's men for winning four on the spin in the Premier League. But the sides they've defeated - West Brom, Stoke, Sunderland and Middlesbrough - all currently occupy bottom-half berths and two of them sit 19th and 20th!

The only game Everton have played this season against a 'decent' side was the opening day clash at home to Tottenham, and in that match they were clinging on for dear life in the second half. And in midweek the Toffees lost at home to Norwich in the EFL Cup despite fielding a very strong side.

I could be completely off the mark but I still rate Everton as a mid-table side but only time will tell.

Admittedly, a mid-table side may well be good enough to beat struggling Bournemouth at present but I'm happy to take a chance on Eddie Howe's men being a good deal better than their league positions suggests they are.

The Cherries have had a much tougher start than Everton, having to face both Manchester sides as well as West Ham in the first ever league game at the London Stadium - that was always going to be a tough ask.

Howe made 11 changes to his side for the midweek EFL game against Preston, and although losing in extra-time was a disappointment at least Bournemouth can now go into Saturday's game with a fresh, and much stronger, starting XI.

This fixture produced a magnificent game last season that ended in a 3-3 draw and I'm happy to wager that Bournemouth avoid defeat again by backing them in the Double Chance market on the Sportsbook.

Recommended Bet
Back Home or Draw in Double Chance @ 8/11
(Sportsbook)


Liverpool 1.271/4 v Hull 15.014/1; The Draw 7.06/1

Not many people expected Liverpool to lose to newly-promoted Burnley - the Reds' only defeat of the season so far - and it's impossible to see lightning striking twice, so I'll keep this one brief.

Jurgen Klopp's men have been in such good form since that defeat at Turf Moor that they simply have to back backed to cover the -1 goal handicap against relegation favourites Hull at Anfield on Saturday afternoon.

Liverpool have scored 15 goals in their last five league and cup games, while in their only match at home this season they thrashed reigning champions Leicester 4-1. It's impossible to oppose them against Hull.

The Tigers started the season well but they've taken just one point from the last nine available and conceded four times at home to Arsenal at the weekend.

Mike Phelan's men are sure to park the bus and try and frustrate Liverpool, but if the home side score early, or even just in the first period, then they ought to win by two or three quite easily.

Recommended Bet
Back Liverpool -1 to Win @ 4/6
(Sportsbook)


Stoke 2.526/4 v West Brom 3.259/4; The Draw 3.412/5

Mark Hughes received a vote of confidence from Peter Coates earlier this week, but when it is swiftly followed by the Stoke chairman uttering the words, "we need a win and the sooner it comes the better", then it probably counts for nothing.

Or it could be argued that it means, if you don't win soon Sparky then you're out the door!

It doesn't take a genius to notice that the Potters are conceding far too many goals - 13 in four straight Premier League defeats and eight in their two league games at the Britannia Stadium.

Those statistics will surely give an upbeat West Brom team - fresh from scoring four against West Ham last Saturday - even more confidence that they can condemn Stoke to a fifth league defeat on the spin.

The Baggies were the second lowest scorers in the top flight last season and up until last weekend they'd scored just two times this term. But they looked like scoring every time they attacked against the Hammers, and in a game where the home side simply have to go for all three points I believe there's every chance of seeing another entertaining affair this weekend.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.265/4
(best bet)


Swansea 9.417/2 v Man City 1.42/5; The Draw 5.49/2

I remember Tweeting 12 months ago that backing Man City to win the Premier League was effectively buying money. Some judge I am!

But it got me curious. The reason for the Tweet was because City, just like they have this season, had opened up their campaign with five straight Premier League wins while a lot of the other big clubs were faltering. Yet incredibly they were trading at just 1.42/5 to win the title this time last year.

Fast forward 12 months and the Citizens are in exactly the same position - top of the table with 15 points accrued from a possible 15. The difference is - to me at least - that they undoubtedly look a better team this season, they have a better manager, a stronger squad, and they're in devastating form having won nine straight games in all competition.

So it may come as a surprise to some that right now Pep Guardiola's men are around the 1.75/7 mark to win the title. Now that really could be a generous price.

Swansea hosted Man City in the EFL Cup in midweek with the Citizens coming out on top 1-2. Both managers rung the changes so it's perhaps best not to read too much into that result other than that when Guardiola restores his side to full strength - and he has Sergio Aguero back available for this match - then there's probably an even bigger gap in quality over the Swans that there was in midweek.

So it will take a huge lapse in concentration for Man City not to win this, or they'll need to have a real off day, and I just don't see that happening.

You can bet your last dollar that Guardiola will have his eyes on the 'perfect 10' start to his managerial career in England, and I expect his men to have this wrapped up by half-time.

Recommended Bet
Back Man City HT/Man City FT @ 2.26/5

***


You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

Premier League 2016/17 Season P/L

Staked: 23 pts
Returned: 17.50 pts
P/L: -5.50 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

- 2014/15 P/L = +35.30 pts from 215 pts staked
- 2015/16 P/L = +14.99 pts from 234 pts staked

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