Bournemouth 2.6413/8 v West Ham 2.8615/8; The Draw 3.412/5
Bournemouth ended a four-game losing run when they held Manchester United to a spirited draw at Old Trafford last Saturday when playing the whole of the second half with just 10 men.
The dismissal prompted Eddie Howe to change his team's set-up and mentality, and it was effectively an exercise of defending for the remainder of the game, but credit to the Cherries for holding out and securing a vital away point.
The concern I have however, is that when Bournemouth had 11 men on the pitch the game was wide open and their defence looked all over the place. How United didn't score two or three in the first 20 minutes remains a mystery, but it's easy to see why Howe's man have conceded so many goals this calendar year.
Bournemouth are without a win in nine games in 2017 and they've conceded an alarming 24 goals in that time, and sitting just five points above the drop zone the pressure is most definitely on to get a few more wins on the board as soon as possible.
The Match Odds market just favours a home win but I think it's hard to make Bournemouth favourites here given their current form, their defensive problems, and the fact that Tyrone Mings will be missing through suspension.
West Ham lost narrowly at home to Chelsea on Monday night but as I alluded to prior to that match the Hammers have a dreadful record at home to the top six clubs, and they've been far more consistent on their travels in recent months.
In fact Slaven Bilic's men have lost just once away from home in the league since narrowly losing to Tottenham almost four months ago. They drew at Manchester United and Liverpool in that time, thrashed Swansea at the Liberty Stadium, and recorded two-goal victories over both Middlesbrough and Southampton. Strong away form indeed.
I'd understand the market favouring Bournemouth if the south coast club were in any semblance of form, but they're not, and given West Ham's recent away form I have to side with Bilic's men here.
Back West Ham to Win @ 2.8615/8 (best bet)
Everton 1.684/6 v West Brom 6.25/1; The Draw 4.03/1
By no means a confident selection but I just have to oppose Everton at an odds-on price against the club immediately below them in the table.
I had huge reservations about the Toffees earlier in the season, reservations about their ability to finish in the top six that is, and I even laid them to finish in the top 10. I've had my fingers burnt with the latter bet of course as Ronald Koeman's men have been in fine form of late and now look certain to finish in the top half of the table.
But they're still a long way from being a top six side for me, and this is exactly the type of game that proved very profitable - by laying the Toffees - earlier in the season when Everton, as short-priced favourites, failed to beat the likes of Bournemouth, Palace, Burnley, Swansea, and Hull.
The five clubs I've just mentioned are all sitting 12th or lower in the table, and I fully expected West Brom to be in and around those positions also, but Tony Pulis' side have been much better than that this season.
The Baggies have a terrific record against clubs below them in the table, so it's a slight worry that Everton are above them, and of course they go to Goodison Park on the back of a very disappointing home defeat to Crystal Palace last weekend. But this is a decent West Brom side, and one that I'm happy to forgive one bad result.
It's worth pointing out, that although the Baggies have a poor record against teams in the top six, they actually haven't lost away from home to any club seventh or lower in the table since the beginning of September.
Lay Everton to Win @ 1.695/7
Hull 2.526/4 v Swansea 3.211/5; The Draw 3.412/5
The relegation six-pointers keep on coming in the Premier League, and for the likes of Sunderland, Palace, Middlesbrough, and of course the hosts here Hull, this is a massive one.
If the Tigers avoid defeat then it keeps Swansea right in the thick of it, but if Paul Clement's men were to win they'd move eight points clear of the drop zone, and at this stage of the season that sort of gap, with five or six clubs below them (and not just three), their top flight status would be all but guaranteed.
And it's for that reason that I believe we'll see goals in this match. A draw for the Swans will be a decent result of course, but the victory would be absolutely massive, and given that a defeat won't really change much I just don't see any reason why Clement won't set his side up to go for the win.
The Welsh side are in great form having won four of their last six league games. Even in away defeats to Man City and Chelsea they performed very well, and they've actually scored a very impressive 12 goals in those last six matches, including five in three away games.
So I can easily see Swansea getting on the scoresheet at the KCOM Stadium, but I don't think they'll have it all their own way.
The Tigers have looked far better under new boss Marco Silva, and it can be argued that they've been held back slightly by an incredibly tough run of fixtures. Games against Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea were always going to be tough, and last week Hull had the misfortune of bumping into a Leicester side more akin to last season's Premier League champions rather than the relegation candidates they've become this term.
Having said that, Hull did beat United in the league cup, and they beat Liverpool on home soil, and given that they know that defeat is out of the question here I fancy they'll try to attack Swansea, which will hopefully lead to an entertaining game with both sides getting on the scoresheet.
Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.910/11
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