Chelsea's blip at Basel was their third point spill in five games. Lewis Jones analyses recent trends to decipher how to profit from this vulnerability...
"Chelsea look an absolutely belting price to regroup following the Basel beating and triumph over Southampton on Sunday at 1.574/7."
Away defeats in Europe for Champions League heavyweights are a common occurrence, so there's really no need for Chelsea fans to panic after Basel's 1-0 victory over them.
Last season's Champions League winners Bayern Munich were humbled 3-1 by BATE Borisov in the group stage and this week, previously unbeaten Barcelona surprisingly lost 2-1 to Ajax having already qualified for the last 16.
A lack of movement in both Chelsea's 17.5 and Barcelona's 5.95/1 outright prices suggest that these defeats were down to a bad night at the office rather than internal problems with their Champions League pedigree.
The Blues went through the 90 minutes against the Swiss champions without registering a shot on target and had to be grateful that Petr Cech had his game face on in making important interventions before Mohamed Salah chipped the keeper for the winner with the clock ticking down.
This isn't the first time in Jose Mourinho's second coming as boss of Chelsea that the west London club have dropped points when odds-on to land the spoils. Bogey team Basel beat the Blues on their own patch on matchday one, while Newcastle and Everton took maximum points off them in the Premier League and West Brom also left Stamford Bridge with a point.
This inconsistency in Chelsea's make-up is bringing excellent betting opportunities to the table. With Mourinho's men always likely to be trading near favouritism to win every game they play, correctly anticipating one of these banana skin results is certainly a betting strategy to put faith in.
Using our value-seeking powers, we have dipped our toe in the waters of trend analysis to try and see if there's a way to foresee a shocking Chelsea showing.
Looking at their last seven games, complacency seems to be the main cause of a Chelsea matchday meltdown. After beating Manchester City in the Premier League and Arsenal in the Capital One Cup, they put in a very timid performance against Newcastle, losing 2-0.
Mourinho worked his magic to then rally his troops to a comfortable 3-0 win in Schalke, but then arrogance crept in as they were lucky to even draw 2-2 with the Baggies at home. West Ham were dispatched 3-0, then came the Basel defeat. See the pattern? An easy win is followed by a poor performance.
With this theory at the forefront of our punting methodology, Chelsea look an absolutely belting price to regroup following the Basel beating and triumph over Southampton on Sunday at 1.574/7.