Premier League 3pm Kick-Offs: Back Canaries to down the Eagles

Chris Hughton can guide Norwich to a win on Saturday
Chris Hughton can guide Norwich to a win on Saturday

Another five 3pm kick-offs for Mike Norman to get stuck into this weekend, and our man believes Norwich's home form is strong enough to allow the Canaries to get the better of the Eagles on Saturday...

"The Canaries maybe enduring a disappointing season of their own but they are still relatively strong at Carrow Road. Chris Hughton’s men held Everton on home soil, beat high-flying Southampton, and comfortably beat West Ham 3-1 last time."

Back Norwich to Win @ 1/12.0


Aston Villa 1/12.0 v Sunderland 7/24.4; The Draw 13/53.6

Villa just haven't been able to get going this season despite them having a very promising side. They had a horrendous set of fixtures to start the new campaign and then had star striker Christian Benteke out injured for four or five weeks.

Paul Lambert is finally getting his best team back fit however, and over the next five weeks Villa will face Sunderland twice, Fulham, Crystal Palace, Stoke, Swansea and Southampton so they really ought to start putting a good run together.

Having said that, they are currently three unbeaten in the Premier League and will be buoyed by coming from 2-0 down to earn a draw in the Midlands derby on Monday night.

I'm going to back the home side to win this but only because of Sunderland's dreadful form away from home and the fact that they suffered their biggest loss of the season at Villa Park last season. Opta tell us that the Black Cats have lost their last five Premier League away games, failing to score in four of them, and they've lost 11 of their last 13 on the road.

Recommended Bet: Back Aston Villa to Win @ 1/12.0


Cardiff 5/16.2 v Arsenal 4/61.65; The Draw 16/54.2

I fancied Manchester United to get the better of Cardiff last Sunday so I know the dangers of backing a 4/61.65 shot away at the Cardiff City Stadium, but if I'm being perfectly honest, I have more confidence about the Gunners winning here than I did United.

Arsene Wenger's men have become ultra reliable away from home - prior to losing to the Red Devils last time they'd won nine and drawn one of their previous 10 league away games.

Opta state that Cardiff have conceded more shots on target than any other side in the Premier League this season and I'm not sure Malky Mackay's men can suddenly stop that trend; they're sure to concede plenty of possession and shots to the Gunners and that's where I see the game being won.

Arsenal are scoring goals from all over the pitch at present - Aaron Ramsey, Olivier Giroud, Jack Wilshere, Mesut Ozil etc, and I just don't see any way that they won't score at least a few in Cardiff and come away with the points.

Recommended Bet: Back Arsenal to Win @ 4/61.65


Everton 4/61.65 v Stoke 11/26.6; The Draw 4.1

Everton started the season with three successive draws - including two 0-0s - and their last three games have mirrored that start with 0-0 draws against Tottenham and Crystal Palace and a score draw against Liverpool.

When you see how the Toffees performed last week in the Merseyside derby it's baffling to understand how they failed to score against the likes of West Brom, Cardiff, and Crystal Palace, but that perhaps goes someway to explaining why I've labelled them inconsistent in the past. True, they've lost just once all season in the league but six draws in their other 11 games is rather high.

Stoke ended a run of eight games without a win with a victory over Sunderland last time but they'll find this much tougher at Goodison Park.

Opta tell us that the last three meetings between these two sides at Everton's home have resulted in 1-0 scorelines (two to Everton, one to Stoke) and that's basically in line with how I expect this game to go - Roberto Martinez' men are likely to win but I don't see them running riot. In fact I think they'll be really pleased with another victory without conceding and that's what my wager will be.

Recommended Bet: Back Everton Win to Nil @ 8/52.6


Norwich 1/12.0 v Crystal Palace 7/24.5; The Draw 5/23.5

Credit to Crystal Palace for grinding out a win at Hull last week but when I see a home side available to back at even money against the Eagles then I simple have to back them. Remember, Palace are still bottom of the table and have lost five out of six away games, scoring just three goals in the process. They really are a poor outfit.

The Canaries maybe enduring a disappointing season of their own but they are still relatively strong at Carrow Road. Chris Hughton's men held Everton on home soil, beat high-flying Southampton, and comfortably beat West Ham 3-1 last time.

Opta point out that not only have Palace been losing games but they've also had their woodwork struck nine times by the opposition this season, more than any other side, so perhaps some of those defeats should have been by a greater margin.

I can see Norwich spoiling Tony Pulis' first game in charge and believe the home side are a great price to take all three points.

Recommended Bet: Back Norwich to Win @ 1/12.0 (best bet)


West Ham 20/211.97 v Fulham 7/24.5; The Draw 11/43.7

If ever there's a game where you fancy both teams to lose then this is it. West Ham don't have any strikers, Fulham don't have any belief; it really is a dire prospect. Obviously both sides can't lose but you can certainly make a case for either side getting beat, it's a tough game to call which will probably by decided by the finest of margins.

The Hammers have won just one of their last 11 Premier League matches and none of their last five on home soil, while the Cottagers have attempted the fewest shots in total so far this season. Painting an even bleaker picture, Opta tell us that West Ham have hit the target with just over 32% of their shots, the lowest percentage in the top flight.

In summary then, I can't split the two sides, I can't see either of them scoring goals, so perhaps backing the 0-0 draw at 11/112.0 is the way to play. However, the Under 1.5 Goals option is my preferred angle in which will also cover me for any 1-0 scenarios.

Recommended Bet: Back Under 1.5 Goals @ 14/53.8


Season P/L (1pt each bet, 2pts best bet)

Wagered: 75 pts
Returned: 67.02 pts
P/L: -7.98 pts

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