Premier League 3pm Kick-Offs: Bank on QPR to win at home again

Will QPR record another home win over managerless Palace?
Will QPR record another home win over managerless Palace?

Mike Norman enjoyed a great Boxing Day, correctly recommending six wagers from the eight 3pm kick-offs including a 1-2 win for Tottenham at 9.617/2. Here's our man's thoughts on Sunday's non-televised games...

"Harry Redknapp's men have won four and drawn one of their last five at Loftus Road, the draw being with Man City, and they've now scored at least two goals in each of their last seven home games."

Back QPR @ 2.447/5 to beat Crystal Palace

Aston Villa 2.3811/8 v Sunderland 3.55/2; The Draw 3.39/4

Both these sides lost on Boxing Day but Sunderland's home defeat to out-of-form Hull will have been a huge disappointment following their north-east derby victory a few days earlier.

The Black Cats remain a tough side to beat however and they'll fancy their chances against goal-shy Aston Villa.

Paul Lambert's men are the lowest scoring side in the Premier League, and with Sunderland being the division's draw specialists then don't be surprised if this game turns out to be a dull low-socring affair with the 0-0 Correct Score - available to back at 9.28/1 - being a big player.

But if the game is to be won by the best attack then I have to back Villa. It's only a matter of time before Christian Benteke starts hitting the net regularly and he might just be the difference on Sunday.

Recommended Bet
Back Aston Villa to Win @ 2.3811/8

Hull 2.47/5 v Leicester 3.45; The Draw 3.412/5

This threatened to be a game between the two most out of form clubs in the Premier League, but at least Hull will now enter the playing field at the KC Stadium on the back of an away win at Sunderland.

As I always say, one good result isn't enough to convince me that a team has turned the corner, but when you consider the form of Leicester currently then in Hull's two wins since October we at least have a reason to side with Steve Bruce's men.

For the record, the Foxes haven't won a single game since September and they have taken just two points from the last 39 available to them.

Bruce made quite a few changes to his side on Boxing Day, largely relying on the team that did so well in getting to the FA Cup final last season. I'm far from confident, and this is probably a no-bet game, but if Bruce goes for a similar line-up to the one that played at Sunderland then a home win is the call.

Recommended Bet
Back Hull to Win @ 2.47/5

Man City 1.182/11 v Burnley 25.024/1; The Draw 8.615/2

I made the mistake of having no confidence in Manchester City on Boxing Day and they quickly went about making me regret that decision, scoring two early goals and effectively putting the game to bed.

I actually think that Burnley might be a sterner test than what West Brom were, Sean Dyche's men are an extremely hard working outfit who won't lie down and be rolled over.

But I'm not going to lay City again here. They should win and should win comfortably, but Manuel Pellegrini is still without a recognised striker and although David Silva and Yaya Toure are world class midfielders who have been in decent form lately, I don't see Man City hammering the Clarets.

If the Citizens do get a few goals ahead they might then cast one eye on the New Year's Day fixtures and stroll through the rest of the game. I'm tempted to back Under 2.5 Goals at 2.915/8 but instead I'll dutch the 2-0 and 3-0 Correct Scores at 3.65.

Recommended Bet
Dutch 2-0 & 3-0 Correct Scores @ 3.65

QPR 2.447/5 v Crystal Palace 3.259/4; The Draw 3.45

We napped QPR the last time they played at Loftus Road and they duly obliged, coming from two goals down to get the better of West Brom 3-2.

Rangers' form on home soil is formidable, and against an out-of-form Crystal Palace side, one that relieved Neil Warnock of his duties on Saturday, then I'm very surprised that they aren't close to being odds-on to win this game.

Harry Redknapp's men have won four and drawn one of their last five at Loftus Road, the draw being with Man City, and they've now scored at least two goals in each of their last seven home games.

Palace are without a win in six games which prompted the hierarchy to get rid of Warnock, and while a club that has just sacked their manager can often be a dangerous one to play, if we go purely on form then QPR look a great bet to record another home win.

Recommended Bet
Back QPR to Win @ 2.447/5
(best bet)

Stoke 1.9210/11 v West Brom 4.84/1; The Draw 3.613/5

Stoke have become a very unpredictable team, failing to make the Britannia Stadium the fortress that it has been in recent season but gaining some excellent wins away from home.

When you consider that Mark Hughes' men have lost at home to Leicester and Burnley - the Premier League's two bottom clubs - and Aston Villa this season, but away from home they've won at Tottenham, Everton, and Man City no less, then it almost defies logic.

But West Brom are in such poor form themselves that it's impossible to make a case for not siding with Stoke. The Baggies have won just one of their last eight - against Villa - and their only other victory since September was against rock bottom Leicester.

The Potters might be unpredictable but at least we know that on their day they can beat anyone in the Premier League, and it was only a few weeks ago that they defeated Arsenal on home soil.

Recommended Bet
Back Stoke to Win @ 1.9210/11

West Ham 3.65 v Arsenal 2.166/5; The Draw 3.711/4

An intruiging game between two clubs towards the top end of the table.

West Ham have been excellent this season, especially at the Boleyn Ground where they have taken 19 points from the last 21 available and defeated the likes of Liverpool, Man City, Swansea, and Newcastle. In Enner Valencia, Andy Carroll, and Diafra Sakha they have a quality attack, and with the likes of Stewart Downing having a superb season Sam Allardyce's men are a match for anyone at the moment.

Arsenal made it six wins from their last eight matches with a 2-1 victory over QPR on Boxing Day, but away from home in the league they have won just one of their last four and they will be without the services of Olivier Giroud for this game.

I envisage this being an entertaining affair, but one that is very difficult to call. At the prices you'd have to side with West Ham in the Match Odds market but I believe we'll see goals in this encounter and that backing at least three to be scored is a sensible wager.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.84/5

You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73

Premier League 2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 100 pts
Returned: 113.49 pts
P/L: + 13.49 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

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