This weekend's Saturday night football comes from the North-East as Newcastle host West Brom and Paul Robinson is predicting goals...
"The draw definitely looks the value selection to me as WBA have lost just one of their last nine in the league, five of which were draws – including their last two."
Newcastle v West Brom
Saturday November 30, 17:30 GMT
Live on Sky Sports 1
Newcastle have climbed to eighth in the league following three successive victories. There's no hiding how impressive those results were - especially the two over Chelsea and Spurs - and Alan Pardew will have his players believing that they can reach the dizzy heights of their 2011/12 campaign.
In Loic Remy they have one of the most in-form strikers in the country and with Yohan Cabaye back in the first team, the Geordies have their cutting edge again. Perhaps a forgotten man of the Toon though is Papiss Cisse. After exploding onto the English scene a couple of years ago, times have been tough for the Senegalese striker and he's still to find a Premier League goal this season. There could be a light at the end of the tunnel however as Cisse has scored three goals in three games against Saturday's opponents and that could tempt the manager to restore him to the starting XI.
West Brom looked completely dominant on Monday night as they led local rivals Aston Villa 2-0 from an early stage. A Shane Long brace had seemingly handed all three points to the Baggies but a second half fightback denied them the victory as the match finished 2-2.
It will be interesting to see how Steve Clarke's side bounce back from that disappointment but recent history suggests that it won't be a problem as they haven't really had two bad results on the trot this season and when they were mauled 4-1 at Anfield, they came out next time and beat Crystal Palace.
Newcastle 2.111/10 West Brom 3.9 The Draw 3.613/5
I have to admit that Newcastle are on my list of teams not to trust and I'm loath to back them unless they're the underdogs. The draw definitely looks the value selection to me as WBA have lost just one of their last nine in the league, five of which were draws - including their last two.
In fact, if we concentrate solely on their away form this term, we can see that the Albion have seen four of their six finish with the scores level and the last meeting between this pair back in April ended in a draw.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals 2.0621/20 Over 2.5 Goals 1.9420/21
The Betfair customers are finding it difficult to find an overwhelming favourite between overs and unders but it's the former that stands out to me.
In the last 11 meetings between these two there hasn't been a clean sheet to be seen and since 2008 the scorelines have been 2-1, 2-3, 1-1, 2-2, 4-2, 3-1, 3-3, 2-3, 1-3, 2-1 and 1-1.
The visitors come into this one on the back of a couple of 2-2 draws and while Newcastle have been keeping things relatively tight at the back of late, a lot of that has been down to the excellent displays of goalkeeper Tim Krul, and he can't keep playing at that level forever.
Given the goalscoring stats I've just quoted the best cash out opportunity has to lie in the Over 4.5, Over 5.5 and Over 6.5 markets. Liquidity will improve as kick off approaches and you should be able to back the 'over' in each one at around the 7.06/1, 16.5 and 40.039/1 mark.
If, as expected, the goals start flying in, then sit back, put your feet up and cash out at your leisure as the prices begin to crash.