Newcastle v Manchester City: Forget the match outcome, just back goals

Expect Man City to celebrate more goals on Sunday afternoon
Expect Man City to celebrate more goals on Sunday afternoon
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If you must have a wager in the Match Odds market then Mike Norman believes laying Man City could be the way to play, but our man is very strong on seeing the net bulge at St James Park on quite a few occasions...

"Throw in the fact that City score for fun, and that three of their last four league away games have seen at least five goals scored, then I believe we have a decent chance of landing a nice price winner here."

Back Over 4.5 Goals @ 4.57/2


Newcastle v Manchester City
Sunday, 14:05
Live on Sky Sports 1


Newcastle

After enjoying a magnificent two months in which they won seven of their nine Premier League games Newcastle have come unstuck in the last fortnight, losing three games on the bounce - two of which were at St James Park - scoring just one goal in the process.

The jury is back out then on Alan Pardew's men. Losing to relatively out of form sides like West Brom and Cardiff is a far cry from victories such as the ones they achieved over Tottenham, Chelsea, and Manchester United. But the obvious conclusion to make is that plain and simply, the Magpies are an inconsistent outfit.

Like so many clubs in the Premier League, and as they have already proved, Newcastle can beat anyone on a good day, but they are just as likely to lose to a Hull, a Sunderland, a West Brom, or a Cardiff as they are to beat a club such as a Spurs, a Chelsea, or a Man United.

A win for Pardew's men will take Newcastle to within a whisker of the top six, for which they can be backed at 12.011/1 in the Top 6 Finish market prior to Sunday's encounter.


Manchester City

It's perhaps no exaggeration to say that City have been world beaters since, as incredible as it sounds now, they lost to Sunderland at the beginning of November.

Since that surprise defeat at the Stadium of Light, Manuel Pellegrini's men have remained unbeaten in 14 league and cup games, winning 12 of those matches and scoring an absolutely ridiculous 46 goals in the process. True, they concede a few also - 17 in the same period to be precise - but that just makes backing Goals in games involving the Citizens an easy call.

City could be down to third in the table by the time this game kicks off, but a victory will take them top of the pile for at least 24 hours with Arsenal not playing until Monday night. Pellegrini's men can be backed at 2.35/4 to win the title before a ball is kicked this weekend.


Match Odds

The way the season has gone for each club - Newcastle in general and Man City away from home - then I really wouldn't be surprised at any of the three possible outcomes in this market.

If Newcastle can go to stadiums like Old Trafford and White Hart Lane and come away with all three points, as well as beat title-chasing Chelsea, then they are capable of beating a Man City side that has underperformed regularly away from home, most notably when losing to the likes of Aston Villa, Cardiff, and Sunderland.

The feeling is however that City have turned the corner away from home. True, they're unbeaten in six domestic away games now but they've hardly played anyone of note - West Brom, Southampton, Fulham, Swansea, Leicester, and Blackburn being the clubs they've faced.

The highest placed of those six clubs in the league structure is Southampton, and City could only manage a draw away to Mauricio Pochettino's men so there's every reason to believe Newcastle can get something out of this game. It's not a market to wager massively in, but laying City at 1.728/11 involves little risk if you so choose.

Newcastle are 5.59/2 to win the game while The Draw can be backed at 4.1.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals is available to back at 1.635/8 here and yes we'll see at least three goals, so let's move on!

Over 4.5 Goals is available to back at 4.57/2 and in a game that I fully expect to be open, entertaining, full of goalmouth action, and above all, contain goals, then I think this is an option well worth considering.

Remarkably Man City have managed just one clean sheet away from home in the league this season and that came against low-scoring Stoke. When you consider the fact that Cardiff, Aston Villa, West Ham, Sunderland, West Brom, Southampton, Fulham, Swansea, and even Championship clubs Leicester and Blackburn all scored against the Citizens then you have a rock solid case for Newcastle getting on the scoresheet at least once.

Throw in the fact that City score for fun, and that three of their last four league away games have seen at least five goals scored, then I believe we have a decent chance of landing a nice price winner here.


Best Cash Out Opportunity

The Any Unquoted option (any side to score at least four) is available to back at 6.25/1 in the Correct Score market and that has to be snapped up with a view to Cashing Out if you choose.

City scored three with at least 15 minutes to play (including stoppage time) against West Brom, Fulham, and Swansea in the league recently and that would have meant the Any Unquoted price would have traded at odds-on.

Use the same strategy again - take the 6.25/1 before kick-off and Cash Out should City - or Newcastle - score three before the 75th minute.


Recommended Bets

Back Over 4.5 Goals @ 4.57/2
Back Any Unquoted Score @ 6.25/1 (Cash Out if the price goes odds-on)


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