Newcastle v Leicester: Foxes are Mad for it

Leicester boss Claude Puel
Claude Puel can head back to Leicester with three points

It's been a grind for Newcastle so far and Leicester can take all three points at St. James' on Saturday, says Dave Tindall...

"Unless they're at home to fellow non-scoring strugglers like Cardiff or Huddersfield, I find it hard to see how the Magpies deserve favouritism in any match."

1pt Leicester to win at 32/1

Newcastle v Leicester
Saturday September 29, 15:00

Magpies in bottom three

Despite the ultra-tough fixture list, a haul of just two points from their opening two games is still pretty miserable.

Those two points came courtesy of 0-0 away draws at Cardiff and Crystal Palace so, as you'd expect from a Rafa Benitez team, clean sheets are doable.

But, at some point, they're going to have to start scoring goals or this is going to turn into a very grim season indeed.

The numbers really do tell the story as Newcastle have attempted a Premier League-low 46 shots on goal, with just 17 on target.

Foxes pose a threat

Leicester sit in ninth place after six games and it would hardly be the biggest shock in the world if they've settled into their natural position already.

In terms of goals though they're a bit superior than that and Leicester's tally of 11 is only bettered by five teams and all that quintet currently sit in the top six.

On the road so far, they've given Man Utd a close run before losing 2-1 at Old Trafford while winning by that same scoreline at Southampton.

It all went wrong at Bournemouth where they were 4-0 in arrears and a man down before again showing that goals are in them by scoring twice late.

They followed it with a 3-1 home win over Huddersfield last weekend.

Newcastle unconvincing favourites

Unless they're at home to fellow non-scoring strugglers like Cardiff or Huddersfield, I find it hard to see how the Magpies deserve favouritism in any match.

That's the case here though with Newcastle 2.6813/8 to gain their first victory of the campaign.

Leicester are 3.02/1 while The Draw is 3.3512/5.

History does the hosts no favours either in this match-up.

Leicester have won the last two encounters at St. James', scoring three goals each time. Two could very well be enough on this occasion while even a solo strike could nick it.

The 2015/16 champions can be hit-or-miss on the road but this looks a good opportunity to play them against a Newcastle side shorn of confidence.

BTTS

Both teams to score has landed in five of Leicester's six games so far and it's 1.9520/21 to reward backers again.

But do Newcastle bring enough to the table? I suspect they may not so would slightly lean towards 'No' at the narrow odds-against price of 2.021/1.

Jamie can drive Mapgies mad

One of the best-value signings of the season on early evidence is Leicester's capture of James Maddison from Norwich.

The youngster has settled in superbly, already finding the net three times. Two of those have come in his last two and he had some dangerous moments against Liverpool too.

Maddison is 13/5 to wheel away in celebration again and, given Leicester's recent record at Newcastle, I'm getting on board.

On the Same Game Multi, if we combine our two bets it's and that's worth a small wager too.

Opta stat

Since the start of last season, no team has lost more home Premier League games than Newcastle (10, level with Huddersfield and Swansea).

Dave Tindall's P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 24pts
Returned: 31.23pts
P/L: +7.23pts

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