Newcastle v Bournemouth: Magpies to make most of home advantage

Tottenham are the only side to beat Newcastle at St James' this season
Tottenham are the only side to beat Newcastle at St James' this season

The Cherries looked to have turned a corner in recent weeks but following another defeat Evan Bartlett believes their woes are set to continue on Tyneside...

"Howe's men come into this one as 4.03/1 outsiders, but it is the hosts who look a more obvious bet at 2.0421/20."

Newcastle v Bournemouth
Saturday 4 November, 15:00

Magpies impressive after shaky start

After a shaky start to the campaign in which they lost to Tottenham and Huddersfield in their opening two games - Newcastle must surely be pleased with their return to the Premier League.

Led by centre-back and captain Jamaal Lascelles, and marshalled in midfield by Jonjo Shelvey, Isaac Hayden and the impressive Mikel Merino, the youngest team in the league find themselves in ninth after 10 games.

Despite narrow defeats to the likes of Burnley and Brighton, Rafa Benitez will be confident of turning his side's more recent fortunes around. Even if they do lack a top class goalscorer, there is enough grit and organisation in this team to grind out results in this league and maintain their position in the top half of the table.

Cherries' turnaround has taken a knock

Bournemouth appeared to have turned a corner in recent weeks with a win away to Stoke in the Premier League quickly followed up with another in the EFL Cup against Middlesbrough.

But defeat to Chelsea last weekend - a side who were subsequently shown not to be in the best form by Roma - means the Cherries are still rooted in the relegation zone.

Eddie Howe's men have made their worst start to a Premier League season of the three so far and each of the last two campaigns had twice as many goals at this stage as they do this term (12 compared to six). That comes despite a decent amount of investment in the summer, the arrival of Jermain Defoe and Josh King's excellent form towards the end of last season. Howe will be hoping he sees an upward turn in form soon.

Hard to look past Benitez's men for the win

But that looks like a tall order against a Newcastle side who have conceded just nine goals in their 10 games so far and have been particularly tight at home. Benitez's men have conceded just three at St James' this season, with the only side managing to breach the defences and pick up a win being Tottenham - the conquerors of European champions Real Madrid in midweek.

While Bournemouth did manage to pick up a win in the Potteries a fortnight ago, they have a pretty poor record away from home in the Premier League, having only managed back to back away victories once before - in December 2015 when they beat Chelsea and West Brom.

Before last weekend they had won just two of 17 games on the road - against an already doomed Sunderland and against a Swansea side who had just sacked Bob Bradley. Howe's men come into this one as 4.03/1 outsiders, but it is the hosts who look a more obvious bet at 2.0421/20.

Expect it to be tight

This one looks extremely unlikely to be a goalfest, with Bournemouth possessing the second worst strike force in the league and Newcastle one of the worst in the top half. But where the Magpies have excelled is in keeping things tight at the back and picking off a goal or two.

The difference between the two sides in nine of 11 of Newcastle's games so far this season has been by just a one goal margin. Furthermore, just three of their games have gone Over 2.5 Goals (five of Bournemouth's have), suggesting that could be a tempting bet at 1.804/5 or more.

Similarly, the hosts tend to keep things tight in the early stages - with Draw/Newcastle paying off in four of their last eight wins. You can back that result in the HT/FT market at a tempting 4/1 on the Sportsbook.

Ref Watch

The man in the middle for Saturday's match will be Paul Tierney. The Lancastrian has taken charge of seven games across the leagues this season, handing out 22 yellow cards and no reds.

Recommended bets

Back Newcastle to win @ 2.0421/20

Evan Bartlett 2017/18 P/L

Staked: 14 pts
Returned: 14.63 pts
P/L: +0.63 pts

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Read past articles