Newcastle v Bournemouth: Cherries to unearth a well hidden secret

Georginio Wijnaldum has never gone more than five league games without a Newcastle goal
Georginio Wijnaldum has never gone more than five league games without a Newcastle goal

Like West Ham and West Brom before them, Bournemouth are likely to discover that Newcastle are surprisingly effective at home...

"Newcastle are fresh from two home wins in a row for the first time under Steve McClaren and their only defeats in ten were inflicted by leaders Leicester and the top tier’s least conquered travellers Everton."

Back Newcastle to win (draw no bet) @ 1.9110/11

Newcastle 2.727/4 v Bournemouth 2.915/8; The Draw 3.45
Saturday, 15:00


Newcastle

While Newcastle's spending statement of survival intent had an immediate impact as they beat West Ham 2-1 with Jonjo Shelvey and Henri Saivet on the pitch, four defeats in five since leave them lower down the table than they were before Mike Ashley signed off his latest series of cheques.

There are still just about enough positives to cling to. Despite being 19th, the Magpies are only inside the relegation zone on goal difference and they have a game in hand. Sure, it is against Manchester City, but their form is far from frightening. Additionally, all of the aforementioned losses occurred away: they haven't fallen at St James' Park since Boxing Day.

Their surge for safety would be a lot simpler if the dressing-room-to-treatment-table ratio improved. Tim Krul, Chancel Mbemba, Massadio Haidara, Kevin Mbabu and Gabriel Obertan are all absent, though Fabricio Coloccini, Andros Townsend and Papiss Cisse have a chance of being passed fit.


Bournemouth

The Cherries are potentially two wins shy of ensuring that their debut Premier League campaign isn't an isolated event after moving up to 32 points with a surprisingly straightforward 2-0 midweek success over nearby Southampton.

The gap between the newcomers and the bottom three is eight points and their record over the last few months is encouraging enough to give Eddie Howe belief that they are as likely to increase it over the remaining ten outings rather than fret over it thinning.

Even some of their long-term injuries are clearing up, with Max Gradel making his first start since August against the Saints. Callum Wilson is still sidelined and likewise Junior Stanislas, while Harry Arter and Joshua King are both doubts having failed to go the distance on Tuesday night.


Match Odds

The victory over Southampton was Bournemouth's sixth this season against a team above them in the table - nobody in the division has won more than that - and four of those came on the road.

What the south coasters aren't so good at is winning the games that they are expected to. They have prevailed just twice in seven attempts against the bottom five, losing three in four against the clubs in the drop zone. Indeed, they are also the sole side to have been beaten by every one of that trio.

Their hosts are fresh from two wins in a row on Tyneside for the first time under Steve McClaren, against West Ham and West Brom, and their only defeats in ten in front of their fans were inflicted by leaders Leicester and the top tier's least conquered travellers Everton.

So given Newcastle's 1-0 triumph in the reverse fixture and understatedly impressive home form, they offer more appeal at 2.727/4. If you aren't quite prepared to trust them entirely and want a little insurance, they are 1.9110/11 to deliver in the draw no bet market, in which your stake is returned if the contest finishes level.


To Score

Newcastle might be swamped with injuries, but the situation would be far more concerning if Georginio Wijnaldum was one of the wounded.

Instead, he has been fit all season and though five league matches have passed without him netting, he has never gone longer than this without a goal for them. On three separate occasions, he has gone on a lean spell of exactly this length and remedied it with a strike on appearance number six.

The Dutch attacking midfielder has fired in two of their three home encounters in 2016 and has notched nine times at St James' Park across the campaign, accounting for 45% of their overall total. He is available to back at around 4.216/5 to score against Bournemouth.


Recommended Bets:

Back Newcastle to win (draw no bet) @ 1.9110/11
Back Wijnaldum to score @ 4.216/5


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