Dan Fitch has his money on Manchester United edging past Sheffield United when they meet in the Premier League on Wednesday evening.
"Sheffield United can be difficult to break down, so if they can improve on their performance against Newcastle, a narrow home win looks likely."
Manchester United [1.46] v Sheffield United [9.6]; The Draw [4.6]
Wednesday 24 June, 18:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
Pogba shines as United return
Manchester United take on one of their rivals for a European slot when they host Sheffield United.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's team resumed their campaign against Tottenham on Friday night, in a match that ended in a 1-1 draw. It was a fair result, with Spurs having the better of the first-half and United putting on the pressure after the break, before finally winning a late penalty that was converted by Bruno Fernandes.
The match had positive and negative aspects for Solskjaer to consider. Paul Pogba's introduction in the second-half was a great success, with the World Cup winner combining well with Fernandes in midfield and winning the penalty. Tottenham's goal will have been a cause for concern though, with Harry Maguire letting the scorer Steven Bergwijn race into the area without much resistance and David de Gea then failing to save Bergwijn's shot, which was straight at him.
Phil Jones and Axel Tuanzebe are the only players currently unavailable to Solskjaer. He must decide whether to start with Pogba in this match after his impressive cameo, while Mason Greenwood is another player who impressed as a substitute against Spurs and could be preferred to Daniel James.
Blades lack cutting edge since restart
Sheffield United will not be at all happy with their form since the season restarted.
They had the advantage of a game in hand, which could have seen them move ahead of Manchester United and into fifth, but could only draw 0-0 against a struggling Aston Villa side that are in the relegation zone. The Blades then spurned another opportunity to move ahead when they lost 3-0 at Newcastle on Sunday.
Sheffield United's performance against Newcastle was not as terrible as the scoreline suggests, with the sides drawing 0-0 until John Egan was sent off in the 50th minute. Yet Chris Wilder will be worried about his team's lack of potency and concentration, after a match in which they made uncharacteristic errors.
Egan will be suspended for the trip to Old Trafford. Another big loss for the visitors will be their on-loan goalkeeper Dean Henderson, who is ineligible to play against his parent club.
Narrow win for hosts
Manchester United are the [1.46] favourites, with the draw at [4.6] and Sheffield United at [9.6].
On the evidence of what we've seen so far, the hosts should win this one and their price is not unrealistic, even if it is too short to recommend. The visitors can be difficult to break down at their best, so if they can improve on their performance against Newcastle, a narrow win for Manchester United looks likely.
A home win and under 2.5 goals is [3.1]. Sheffield United have yet to score since the season resumed and you can back Manchester United to win to nil at [2.1].
Fernandes a value goalscorer pick
As a standalone bet, under 2.5 goals is decent value at [1.86]. The 0-0 half-time score is [2.9] and has landed in both of Sheffield United's games post-lockdown, though Manchester United do pose far more of an attacking threat than either Aston Villa or Newcastle.
In the anytime goalscorer market, Marcus Rashford leads the betting at [2.1], ahead of Anthony Martial at [2.4]. Fernandes could provide value at [3.3], as Manchester United's new regular penalty taker.
Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L
Staked: 654.00 pts
Returned: 633.82 pts
P/L: -20.18 pts
Back Manchester United to beat Sheffield United and under 2.5 goals at [3.1]
Back Fernandes to score for Manchester United against Sheffield United at [3.3]