EFL Cup Tips: Man City to strike early as Tottenham give away a goal

Ilkay Gundogan was a goalscorer on his Premier League debut for Man City against Bournemouth
Ilkay Gundogan was a goalscorer on his Premier League debut for Man City against Bournemouth

Michael Lintorn picks out the best bets for Southampton, Man City and Tottenham's EFL Cup third-round ties...

"The Citizens have fired within the opening 15 minutes of each of their past four games and six of their overall eight under Pep Guardiola."

Recommended Bet: Back the first goal time to be 11-20 minutes in Swansea v Man City @ 5.04/1

Southampton 2.1411/10 v Crystal Palace 3.8514/5; The Draw 3.613/5
Wednesday, 19:45

Alan Pardew is never short of an opportunity to retrace his St Mary's steps, with this the third season in a row that Crystal Palace have been asked to travel to his former club Southampton in a cup competition as well as the Premier League.

The Eagles probably won't be disappointed by the invitation either given that they were victorious on the south coast in the 2014/15 and 2015/16 editions of the FA Cup. Both were goal-heavy affairs, won 3-2 and 2-1 by the guests, and four of the previous six showdowns between the pair across all competitions were devoid of clean sheets, as were Palace's past three encounters.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.8810/11


Swansea 7.413/2 v Man City 1.51/2; The Draw 4.94/1
Wednesday, 19:45

The most admirable thing about Man City isn't the stylish football, the clinical finishing or the tactical innovation, it's the efficiency that underpins the beauty. The Citizens have fired within the opening 15 minutes of each of their past four games and six of their overall eight under Pep Guardiola.

For those looking to identify the ten-minute segment in which the opener is most likely to arrive, it seems that 1-10 is the way to go at the Etihad (three payouts in five) and 11-20 on the road (two from three). Deadlock was broken in this section of Swansea's last home match against Chelsea.

Recommended Bet: Back the first goal time to be 11-20 minutes @ 5.04/1


Tottenham 1.211/5 v Gillingham 16.015/1; The Draw 8.615/2
Wednesday, 20:00

By netting in 14 of their last 15 fixtures despite claiming a mere four 90-minute wins in that period, Gillingham have earned the right to be taken seriously as a goalscoring threat at White Hart Lane. They have that chance as a result of striking in normal time and extra time at Watford last month.

Tottenham are of course a trickier backline to breach, with three clean sheets to their name already this term, though they have conceded in two of their past three contests in front of their fans. Spurs also gave up at least one goal in each of their three domestic cup ties as hosts in 2015/16.

Recommended Bet: Back Tottenham not to keep a clean sheet @ 2.021/1


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