Luke Moore previews West Brom's trip to the Etihad as Man City continue to strive for Champions League football next season...
"Since notching up 40 points on 25th February, the Baggies have added just five points and haven't won at all since beating Arsenal on 18th March. It's a criticism leveled at manager Tony Pulis time and again - when his teams reach safety, they never kick on."
Man City v West Brom
Live on Sky Sports 1
A solid win at home to Leicester City last time out means Manchester City's top four ambitions are still in their own hands with two games left, the first of which is at home to a West Brom side bottom of the form table and struggling badly since they reached 40 points.
Of course a Champions League spot is a minimum requirement for a side the size of Man City with the resources they have at their disposal, but Pep Guardiola has found it perhaps a touch more difficult than he expected when taking the job.
The manager will be looking to strengthen in a big way this summer, but it's important they close out the season with two more wins. Claudio Bravo and Ilkay Gundogan are both still absent.
Since notching up 40 points on 25th February, the Baggies have added just five points and haven't won at all since beating Arsenal on 18th March. It's a criticism leveled at manager Tony Pulis time and again - when his teams reach safety, they never kick on.
Man City away is as tough as they come in the Premier League, and it's a big ask for these West Brom players to rouse themselves from their end-of-season stupor in the face of a City side gunning for top four qualification to the Champions League.
Gareth McAuley and Matt Phillips are both injured.
As one would expect, City are punitively short in this market. 1.171/6 is a very slim price, but it's easy to see why - West Brom have scored just two goals in their last seven league games and, what's more, they've conceded eight.
I fully expect City to win this game easily, but this isn't a market with any value in it at time of writing. West Brom are a massive 25.024/1 to win, with the draw priced at 9.417/2. Astonishing prices.
That price on the away side is so big it almost tempts me to have a little interest - but not quite.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Overs is very short here at 1.454/9, and clearly the market expects City to notch up a fair few goals - something it's hard to disagree with. A fully focused, motivated Man City are going to be too much for Pulis' men at the best of times, let alone when West Brom are marooned in midtable with absolutely nothing to go for except finishing eighth.
It's another market where there's no real value. Unders is 3.185/40 but I can't back West Brom to keep Guardiola's men out.
I rate City as a good few goals better than their opponents on Tuesday night currently, and 2.26/5 on City-2 looks a nice pick for me in light of the circumstances and that's where my money is going.
Back Man City-2 at 2.26/5
Luke Moore 2016/17 P/L