Liverpool v Newcastle: Reds can cruise to easy win

Jurgen Klopp can watch the goals fly in
Jurgen Klopp can watch the goals fly in

Liverpool's dynamic front three should power them to a big victory over Newcastle, says Dave Tindall...

"Take out games versus top-six opposition and Liverpool have hit four or more in four of their last five Anfield matches against the rank and file of the Premier League (Watford, Burnley, Huddersfield and Norwich) since late February."

Liverpool v Newcastle
Saturday, 12:30
Live on BT Sport

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Hosts on record run

After finishing last season with nine straight Premier League wins, Liverpool have added four more to start the current campaign, gaining themselves a nice club record streak of 13and a two-point lead at the top of the table.

Pretty impressive given what they're up against historically.

The Reds haven't looked as solid defensively but their goals against column of three is still the second best in the top-flight.

But, of course, it's at the other end where they're so potent and Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino have all started the season fast and are amongst the goals already.

The Mane-Salah spat looks to be something and nothing and having two players who are desperate to outscore each other having shared the Golden Boot last season is not exactly a huge problem!

Mixed start for Magpies

The win at Tottenham on their last road trip was certainly worthy of praise but Newcastle have taken just a single point from their other three games so, as a start to the season, it's been a tad underwhelming.

Steve Bruce certainly quietened the crisis talk by winning at Spurs although the gloss is taken off somewhat when noting that Tottenham have lost six of their last 13 Premier League games if you add in the back end of last season.

For now, Newcastle are tucked away in 14th but that's just one point above second bottom so you sense the result at Spurs was some light relief in what looks set to be another long grind to safety.

Just three goals scored in their four games hints at where much of the problem still lies.

Liverpool to concede is an option

The basic win prices are as lopsided as you would imagine with Liverpool just 1.171/6 to make it 15 points out of 15.

Newcastle are 2524/1 to pull off a huge shock while The Draw is 9.28/1.

The obvious angle is whether Liverpool may just concede one on the way to victory.

The Reds have failed to keep clean sheets in three of their last four starts and stand-in goalkeeper Adrian seems to average one daft moment per game.

Liverpool to win and Both teams to Score is 2.8615/8 and many will find that worth a look.

While the Reds are totally dominant over the Magpies at Anfield with 19 wins and four draws in the last 23, they've conceded in over half those matches.

Strike trio all odds-on to score

No surprises that the market expects goals from the Liverpool big guns.

Mo Salah is shortest at 1.75/7, with Sadio Mane 1.9110/11 and Roberto Firmino 1.9420/21.

Mane has been going toe-to-toe with Salah for some time so he's the one I like.

He got to put his feet up in the international break which will have helped after his never-ending 2018/2019 season and Mane scored in this fixture a couple of seasons ago.

The man from Senegal has four in four starting from his brace in the Super Cup final so take the 1.91.

Reds should rack up the goals

There's a fair chance all three of Liverpool's strikers will find the net although it's quite possible you could pick the wrong horse if you back just one or two of them.

Safer, therefore, to have a scoreline punt and given the way Liverpool knock them in it's fair to leap to Any Other Home Win at 3.185/40 which requires the Merseysiders to score over three goals.

That's landed in two of Liverpool's last four Anfield outings, the victims Norwich and Barcelona!

In fact, take out games versus top-six opposition and Liverpool have hit four or more in four of their last five Anfield matches against the rank and file of the Premier League (Watford, Burnley, Huddersfield and Norwich) since late February.

The bet also absorbs something sloppy at the back and Newcastle nicking a consolation.

Any doubts? The early kick-off and disruption of the international break but when Mane, Salah (also fresh after not playing in midweek) and Firmino are all fit and in form, that trumps these side-issues.

Opta stat

Sadio Mane has played 50 Premier League matches at Anfield without losing - 49 with Liverpool, one with Southampton (W40 D10 L0) - more than any other player has played on a ground without ending on the losing side in Premier League history.

Staked: 14.50pts
Returned: 12.95pts
P/L: -1.55pts

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