Leicester v Watford: Evenly-matched teams could share spoils
Jack Lang thinks the Foxes and the Hornets may cancel each other out at the King Power Stadium...
"Leicester's last five games (all competitions) have produced a total of five goals; they've managed well without Harry Maguire at the back, but haven't been firing at the other end"
Leicester City v Watford
Foxes need a lift
They have had other things on their mind in recent weeks, and are thus due a sizeable portion of patience, but the fact remains that Leicester's form has been pretty dodgy since the start of October. The Foxes have won just one of six Premier League games in the two months since, with West Ham, Burnley and Brighton - all below them in the table - among those to take points from them.
There is no real cause for panic: Leicester are not going to get dragged into a relegation zone. But Claude Puel, a man apparently allergic to the concept of job security, will certainly be keen for an upturn in results. And while this game doesn't look like a gimme, it is certainly easier than the home games that follow it: Tottenham are their next visitors, then Manchester City.
Jamie Vardy's return to fitness is a big boost: he scored off the bench against Brighton and managed 90 minutes in the midweek League Cup win over Southampton. Wilfred Ndidi will also expect to return in midfield, but James Maddison is suspended after his red card at the Amex and Harry Maguire is still struggling with a knee issue.
Watford running out of gas?
As above, so below: Watford's form, like that of their hosts, has tailed off worryingly in recent weeks. It's two wins in nine for Javi Gracia's men, and while last weekend's 3-0 loss to Liverpool was nothing to be overly ashamed off, slip-ups against Fulham, Newcastle and Southampton have sapped much of their early-season momentum. At the start of the weekend, they lie ninth - about par, you'd say, but a disappointing comedown after those dizzy opening weeks.
Gracia has kept a relatively settled side so far, but welcomed Troy Deeney back into the starting line-up last weekend and has some tricky decisions to make now all of his attackers are fit. Gerard Deulofeu, Isaac Success and Andre Gray all have their merits, but only one is likely to start alongside the captain. José Holebas, a shock absentee against Liverpool, could return at left-back.
Even battle in store
This is not a fixture that Watford have relished in recent years: they have won just one of their last 11 away matches at the King Power Stadium in all competitions. It's four losses in four in the Premier League, with just one goal scored. Perhaps understandably, Leicester are [2.3] favourites.
Yet there's little reason to be truly confident about the hosts given recent results. These sides are evenly matched, as the table attests, and with confidence not exactly flowing through either squad, the draw looks the most likely outcome at [3.4].
Goals could be in short supply
Leicester's last five games (all competitions) have produced a total of five goals; they've managed well without Maguire at the back, but haven't been firing on all cylinders at the other end. Given that Watford's last five away games in the Premier League have all gone below 2.5 goals, unders looks the play at [1.91].
In fact, if you fancy the teams to cancel each other out, it could be worth backing 1-1 in the correct score market. That result has come in twice for each team since mid-September.
This new tool on the Sportsbook allows you to combine multiple picks on the same match. Here, for instance, we could back under 2.5 goals, the draw and a goal for Jamie Vardy at odds of [18.4]. The former England striker has only one home goal to his name this season but remains Leicester's best goal hope.
Jack Lang's Premier League P/L, 2018/19
1-1 correct score at [7.0]