Leicester City v Brighton
Foxes firing despite near miss at Arsenal
Leicester may have got off to losing start to the season but there were plenty of positives to take away from their dramatic 4-3 defeat at Arsenal. The Foxes caused their opponents problems throughout the match and twice led the Gunners. City looked on course for a memorable victory, leading 3-2 with seven minutes remaining, but two late goals dealt them a cruel blow.
Craig Shakespeare, although frustrated by failing to hold onto their lead, will have been encouraged by the way his side troubled Arsenal on the counter-attack. Riyad Mahrez impressed despite the playmaker's public plea to leave the club and Leicester's attacking options have been enhanced with the summer signing of Manchester City striker Kelechi Iheanacho.
Seagulls target first points after promotion
Brighton were handed one of the toughest tests possible for their first game in the Premier League so their 2-0 home defeat to Manchester City was fairly predictable. Chris Hughton's side tried to focus on subduing their opponents and managed to keep out the title favourites until two goals in the last 20 minutes settled the match.
The Seagulls' fate this season will not be judged on games such as these though and their trip to Leicester should provide a better idea of their ability to avoid an immediate return to the Championship. Brighton have been active in the transfer market with Colombian winger Jose Izquierdo joining in a club record deal but the newly-promoted side still could be short of goals at the highest level.
Leicester are [1.77] favourites to win this weekend and this looks a fair price. The Foxes have been strong at home under Shakespeare since he took charge in February. His only defeat at the ground came against Tottenham at the end of last season and City can deliver a win in their home opener. But backing an odds-on shot won't appeal to everyone so an alternative bet is advised.
Brighton start this match as [5.5] outsiders but there is no great urge to side with them. The visitors are unproven at this level and could take a few weeks to adjust to the increased standard of opposition. Brighton failed to win their last two away matches in the Championship and may have to wait a while yet to get off the mark in the top flight.
The draw is around the [3.85] mark and this is certainly more appealing than backing Brighton. Hughton's side will probably set up to frustrate Leicester and a stalemate would be a positive result for them. But only two league games under Shakespeare have finished in draws and the hosts are expected to take the points.
Vardy can strike again
Jamie Vardy enjoyed a superb start to the season after scoring twice at Arsenal last week. The England striker produced a clinical performance netting from both of his shots during the match. Vardy tends to go on scoring runs, as he did last season after Shakespeare took charge, netting ten goals between the end of February and the rest of the campaign. This was also evident during his brilliant season for the shock title winners in 2015-16 so he thrives off confidence. Vardy looks worth sticking with to net this weekend at 13/10.
Leicester City are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League home fixtures against newly-promoted sides. The Foxes are as short as [1.21] to extend this run by avoiding defeat against Brighton.
Lee Probert will take charge of this weekend's clash and the referee has already got off to a lively start this season. The official sent off two players in his first game of the campaign during Portsmouth's win over Rochdale.
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Simon Mail's 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 1 pt
Returned: 0 pt
P/L: -1 pt