Huddersfield v Crystal Palace
Saturday 17 March, 15:00 GMT
Wagner's men far from safe
The Terriers dropped two valuable points last weekend as they had the best part of 80 minutes at home against a 10 man Swansea side and still couldn't score. The gap to the relegation zone is still four a relatively healthy four points, but it should be six, and after this fixture they face back to back away games.
Most pundits would have had Huddersfield dead and buried by this stage of the campaign prior to the season starting, but David Wagner's men haven't rolled over for anyone, with a home record that reads - played 15, won five, drawn five and lost five.
As for the team news, Danny Williams fractured his fibula in training this week, so he will be out for the rest of the season. Other than that, it's unlikely that the manager will make many other changes from the team that drew with Swansea.
Zaha the key for Eagles
Just when everyone thought that Palace would be safe this year, Roy Hodgson's men have dropped back down into the bottom three having lost four on the bounce and taking just two points from a possible 21.
Admittedly they have had a tough set of fixtures to contend with, but the main reason for their slump has to be the absence of Wilfried Zaha. The ex Manchester United forward made his return from the bench at Chelsea last weekend after missing the defeats to Everton, Spurs and Manchester United, and it's worth noting that when he came on at half-time his team were 2-0 down, with the final score being 2-1.
There is more good news for Hodgson in the shape of Yohan Cabaye and Ruben Loftus-Cheek returning to full training this week. The former could well slot straight back into the starting XI, but the latter will likely be eased in from the bench.
Palace to get back to winning ways
It's not very often that you see a team in the relegation zone, who have lost four on the bounce, be the favourites for an away game at a side who are above them in the league, but that's exactly what we have here.
Crystal Palace are trading at around the 2.747/4 mark for the win and I'm inclined to believe that that is a decent bet. There is no denying that Zaha is the key to their survival and Hodgson has got the best out of him by shifting him into a central role. He shouldn't be too rusty having missed only a handful of games, and he got 45 minutes under his belt at Chelsea.
Huddersfield have only been beaten five times on this ground this term, but it's concerning how they were unable to break Swansea down last weekend and it's worth noting that two of those five defeats have come from their four most recent appearances here.
It's actually just one win in seven in front of their own fans, and they have failed to score in three of their last five. The 3.02/1 available for them to get the three points is too short, and I'm not even tempted by the draw at 3.211/5.
Goals to flow with three points a huge carrot
The Betfair layers have Under 2.5 Goals as the favourite it with the current price at 1.728/11. The Over is 2.3811/8 and that's probably the play for me.
Starting with the visitors, Palace's last half dozen away matches have had goals at both ends and five of their last seven have had three goals or more. They haven't failed to find the net themselves since a 0-0 draw at West Brom back on December 2nd, and their last clean sheet on the road was a fortnight later at Leicester.
I have already touched on Huddersfield's failure to break down the 10 men of Swansea when they were last in action, but prior to that, they put four past Bournemouth in a 4-1 success, and that was their third match in a row to go over 2.5 at the John Smith's Stadium.
A victory for either side would do them the world of good here and I fully expect both teams to go for it.
The official in charge for this clash is Mike Dean and it will be his 24th appearance of the season. To date he has sent off three players and dished out 81 yellows - 10 of which were in the Bournemouth v Man City game back in August.
He is averaging 3.65 cards per match, but he has shown five or more cards on six occasions.
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There is also FA Cup action this weekend and Dave Tindall has previewed the Swansea v Tottenham fixture.