Huddersfield v Bournemouth: Cherries the choice

Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe can finally return home with a win
Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe
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Bournemouth may just be able to end their away-day blues at Huddersfield on Saturday, says Dave Tindall...

"Huddersfield can't score at home and Bournemouth have managed just 13 in 14 games on their travels."

2pts Both teams to Score 'No' at 9/10 (Sportsbook)

Huddersfield v Bournemouth
Saturday, 15:00

Reality bites for Terriers

After the 1-0 win over Wolves generated a flicker of belief that some sort of miracle could be on the cards, the reality kicked in again last Saturday as the Terriers lost by the same scoreline at out-of-form Brighton.

It leaves Huddersfield three points behind second-bottom Fulham but, more importantly, 13 adrift of Southampton in 17th.

Goals remain a chronic problem for Huddersfield and new boss Jan Siewert hasn't been able to find a formula to change it. Since he took over in January, they've managed to find the net just twice in seven games.

Premier League home defeats this season? 11 - three more than anyone else. Premier League home goals this season? Seven - 10 fewer than anyone else.

Cherries have lost their way

Those Bournemouth fans predicting a relegation battle at the start of the season would surely have taken 34 points from their opening 29 games. After all, another two wins should be enough.

But having resided in the top half of the table for much of the campaign, there's an air of it all rather slipping away. Seven home wins is as many as any team outside of the top six.

But, they've lost 11 times on the road and, to give that some context, it means they've suffered more away defeats than Huddersfield.

Bournemouth fancied

Huddersfield, who won this corresponding fixture 4-1 last season, are [3.5] to make it back-to-back home wins.

Bournemouth have lost their last nine away Premier League games and are [2.36] to snap that miserable streak with a win. The Draw is [3.35].

It can be argued both ways but I'm in the camp that says if Bournemouth are going to end their away-day blues it's going to be here in West Yorkshire.

Conflicting goals evidence

On first glance, this looks like a 1-0-er either way but other stats point to something different.

The three league meetings between this pair at the John Smith's Stadium have witnessed 15 goals while the Cherries have conceded 28 goals in their last nine away games, letting in at least two in each.

So which are the most powerful trends?

I'd have to say that Huddersfield's woeful lack of firepower trumps everything so I'd rather much rather take Under 2.5 even at the rather cramped [1.76].

With Terriers goals so rare, Under 1.5 at [3.25] looks a live runner too.

BTTS offers best way in

The most attractive bet though is backing 'No' in the Both Teams To Score market at 19/20 (Sportsbook).

Basically, you have two great chances to land it. Huddersfield can't score at home and Bournemouth have managed just 13 in 14 games on their travels.

I'm a little surprised it's a pick 'em.

Same Game Multi

Finding a legitimate goalscorer punt is hard work it has to be said. David Brooks came back from over a month out in the 1-0 home defeat by Man City and the midfielder has six Premier League goals this season.

Looking at the Same Game Multi market, Brooks to score in a Bournemouth win is 6.14.

Steve Mounie got the winner for Huddersfield against Wolves and it's 7.83 he nets again in a home victory.

Opta Stat

Only two teams in top-flight history have scored fewer goals after 29 games than the 15 Huddersfield have this season - Leicester City (13 in 1977-78) and Derby County (14 in 2007-08).


Dave Tindall's P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 103pts
Returned: 83.07pts
P/L: -19.93pts

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