Everton v Bournemouth: Attacking game could see Cherries on top

Bournemouth manager Eddie Howe
Eddie Howe's Bournemouth could cause an upset at Goodison Park
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Andrew Atherley says Everton are worth opposing in Sunday's match at Goodison Park...

"Everton look vulnerable if Bournemouth score. The Cherries have lost just once when scoring against teams outside the big six (W8 D2 L1)."

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Back Bournemouth to win at [5]

Everton v Bournemouth
Sunday 13 January, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports

Questions over Silva

Everton's progress under Marco Silva has stalled in recent weeks with just one win from their last eight Premier League matches and they weren't particularly impressive in last weekend's 2-1 home win over League Two leaders Lincoln in the FA Cup.

That has raised questions over Silva, who is in his third job with an English club but is yet to complete a full season.

While he has no significant injury concerns, the manager has to solve the problem of how to get the best out of a talented but inconsistent squad.

Howe needs to stop the rot

Like Everton, Bournemouth showed autumn promise but have been struggling for form in recent weeks with eight defeats and just two wins in their last 11 Premier League games.

The poor run continued last weekend with a 3-1 home defeat by Brighton in the FA Cup and Eddie Howe needs to stop the rot, although they look in little danger of relegation with an 11-point margin over the drop zone.

Callum Wilson, Josh King and Dan Gosling all missed the FA Cup defeat with knocks or illness but are expected to be in contention, although it will be interesting to see if Wilson makes the teamsheet given the speculation linking him with Chelsea.

Howe's first-team plans have been disrupted by long-term injuries to midfielder Lewis Cook and defenders Simon Francis and Adam Smith.

Open style of play

The issue with Everton is that Silva's open style of play leaves them vulnerable against the top teams (one point out of 18 against the big six) and against other well-organised opponents who can hold out and snatch a goal themselves.

Bournemouth don't fit in either category and that gives Everton a decent chance of a form boost here. The Cherries should not be dismissed too readily, however, as six of their last 11 games have been against the big six and their recent record against the rest is W2 D1 L2 (and W8 D3 L3 overall).

Everton look vulnerable if Bournemouth score, as Silva's team have won only four times without a clean sheet. Their overall record when conceding is W4 D5 L8 and they have kept only four clean sheets.

Bournemouth have failed to score on six occasions this season but three of those were against big-six teams and they have lost just once when scoring against teams outside the big six (W8 D2 L1). Like Everton, they have an open style of play that makes them dangerous as well as vulnerable.

The reverse fixture ended 2-2 in August and something similar could unfold again. Both teams to score is a solid choice but looks short enough at [1.68] and it could be worth chancing Bournemouth at big odds to come back to form with a bang.

Bournemouth high for goals

The reverse fixture had four goals and it would be no surprise to see both teams on the scoresheet, with the one negative being that Everton have failed to score in their last two Premier League games.

Everton are about on the average for over/under 2.5 goals but Bournemouth are second in the rankings overall (76%) and third in away games (80%).

With both teams to score looking a solid bet, there is a good chance of over 2.5 goals at [1.72].

Opta Stat

Against the six ever-present Premier League sides, Bournemouth have won just two of their 21 away games (W2 D2 L17), with both victories coming at Chelsea. Everton are [1.81] to win.

Premier League 2018-19 P/L

Staked: 19pts
Return: 31.43pts
P/L: +12.43pts

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