Crystal Palace v Newcastle: Magpies to bank a point

Newcastle boss Rafa Benitez
Rafa Benitez can guide Newcastle to a point

Newcastle have been hurt by a brutal early fixture list but can take something from Saturday's clash at Selhurst Park...

"This is a realistic chance for Newcastle to put something on the board and it's a fixture they've enjoyed."

1pt The Draw at 3.45

Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Saturday September 22, 15:00

Palace looking for first home point

Crystal Palace sit 12th in the table going into the weekend, which is clearly a lot better than last year when they hadn't even scored a goal by this stage.

Their six-point haul is down to away wins at Fulham and Huddersfield so it means the Selhurst Park faithful have twice gone home disappointed after home defeats.

The reversal to Liverpool was hardly a shock but the 2-0 home loss to Southampton didn't sit well.

Of course, the latter coincided with Wilfried Zaha being sidelined and every Palace fan knows the cause and effect of his absence. They'd lost their last 12 games without him.

Zaha returned to the fray against Huddersfield and proved the difference maker yet again with a superb goal. Once more, he was also the subject of a shocking foul, got booked and moaned about it.

He'll be the standout player on the pitch on Saturday and it's hard not to think that Zaha will feature in the headlines one way or another.

Magpies competitive despite lack of points

Newcastle's meagre haul of two points and occupation of second-bottom spot may seem about par for the miserable element of the Toon Army who expect nothing more until Mike Ashley puts his hand in his pocket.

But surely their start needs to be put in context.

The fixture list when published was cruel beyond belief with the Magpies being asked to take on Spurs, Chelsea, Man City and Arsenal in four of their first five games.

They came away with zero points but a quartet of 2-1 defeats showed that Rafa Benitez's men were at least in the game until the final whistle went.

And, who knows, the collective goal difference of minus four across those games could actually be worth a point itself at the end of the season when these things really matter.

Newcastle's one point came from a trip to Cardiff. It should have been three but Kenedy missed a last-minute penalty.

Palace fancied for second straight win

Crystal Palace are 2.166/5 to record back-to-back wins while it's 4.03/1 for Newcastle to return home with all three points.

The Draw is 3.45.

There's certainly an argument for backing Palace at an odds-against price but I prefer the stalemate.

This is a realistic chance for Newcastle to put something on the board and it's a fixture they've enjoyed.

The pair have gone head-to-head eight times in the Premier League starting from 2013/14 and Newcastle have managed four wins, three draws and just one defeat.

They've drawn 1-1 at Selhurst Park in two of their last three visits and that looks about right again this time although, somewhat surprisingly, three of Newcastle's four away draws last season were 2-2s.

It's 17.5 that they share four goals again while 1-1 is 7.26/1 but 0-0 has a decent chance of landing too so I'll just take the basic draw price.

Price appeals on in-form Zaha

With Christian Benteke still in cow's arse with a banjo mode, there's only one real goalscorer option for the hosts.

Palace have scored four Premier League goals so far and Zaha has three of them.

It's 15/8 (Sportsbook) that he bags another and that seems a perfectly reasonable price in his current form. Rafa will have reams of notes on how to stop him but doing it in reality is another matter.

Joselu has scored twice so far for Newcastle but both goals were at home. And if that doesn't seem enough evidence for a trend, note that he's never scored an away goal for the club. That gives the 11/4 some context.

I think Newcastle will register - BTTS is a pick 'em incidentally - but can't really pinpoint where it will come from.

On the Same Game Multi, if we combine our two bets it's 13.92 that Zaha scores in a drawn game and I'll have a small wager on that.

It happened twice in Zaha's first four home games last season so his goals don't always make the ultimate difference.

Opta stat

Newcastle have only failed to find the net against Crystal Palace in one of their 14 Premier League contests - a 0-0 draw at St James' Park in April 2005.

Dave Tindall's P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 21pts
Returned: 27.78pts
P/L: +6.78pts

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