The Betfair Sportsbook houses transfer window special markets asking where 41 different players will be once business closes for the winter. Five of those are available to back at odds of 1/2 or shorter to head in a particular direction, meaning these are the most plausible moves of the next week and a half...
Alexandre Pato to Chelsea @ 1/6
The Brazilian has been paired with a number of Premier League clubs this month, but the Chelsea link has been most persistent and the Blues are now heavily odds-on to complete a deal. Their need for attacking reinforcement doesn't seem so drastic now that Diego Costa has struck five times in five appearances under Guus Hiddink, though his understudies Loic Remy and Radamel Falcao look to be judged expendable by management.
Ross McCormack to Middlesbrough @ 1/3
Middlesbrough aren't the most prolific team in the Championship - they don't need to be as their defensive record is outstanding - but they are brimming with offensive quality in the likes of Stewart Downing, David Nugent, Albert Adomah and Christian Stuani, so strengthening is hardly a priority. Perhaps pursuing McCormack is a precaution then after the Fulham striker's hat-trick last April at Craven Cottage paid a key part in costing Boro automatic promotion. They travel there next month.
Jack Grealish to Derby @ 1/3
Aston Villa boss Remi Garde isn't as much of a Grealish fan as the England and Republic of Ireland officials who squabbled over securing his international allegiance last year. After banishing the 20-year-old to the youth team for indiscipline in November, he criticised his output in his second start since against Wycombe in midweek. An exit is therefore deemed probable and, in quite the slight for someone recently tipped for Three Lions recognition, a drop into the second tier is rated most likely.
Andros Townsend to Newcastle @ 1/2
Daniel Levy's unblinking fondness for hardball is thought to be holding up negotiations, yet there are enough ingredients in place to believe that an agreement should be reached. Tottenham are happy to sell, Townsend needs regular action to stand a chance of making Euro 2016 and Newcastle have been very liberal spenders since hiring Steve McClaren last summer, stretching to the type of eight-figure fee that Levy is reported to covet on four separate occasions already.
Emmanuel Adebayor to Crystal Palace @ 1/2
This is another one that feels fairly inevitable. Crystal Palace are desperate for goals following a five-game Premier League drought, Adebayor usually excels in his first six months for new employers and there almost certainly won't be another top-half side offering the Togo international a starting spot. Alan Pardew's initial attempt to manage the 31-year-old came a decade ago when he tried to bring the forward from Monaco to West Ham, and this is his best ever opportunity to scratch that itch.
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