C Palace v Everton
Saturday 18 November, 15:00
Roy Hodgson's arrival in place of Frank de Boer has stopped the rot at Palace, although they still have the unwanted record of having failed to score in nine of their first 11 matches.
They are still bottom with only four points and are six points from safety, which makes this type of game (against 15th-placed Everton) crucial to the task of decreasing the gap to the teams around the relegation zone.
The Toffees secured a critical win for caretaker boss David Unsworth before the international break, coming back from two goals down for a 3-2 home success over Watford.
That was their first win in any competition in nine games and provided some breathing space as the club consider their options for a long-term replacement for Ronald Koeman.
The Watford win moved Everton to 11 points and they can begin to look upwards to the top half - now only four points away - as much as down at the drop zone, which is two points below them.
Hodgson has had a difficult fixture list, with away games at the two Manchester clubs and Tottenham (all lost to nil), but achieved a standout result with a 2-1 home win over Chelsea.
The home form is encouraging, with Palace also having scored two goals in their most recent match at Selhurst Park with a 2-2 draw against West Ham, coming back from two goals down.
If Palace can get Selhurst rocking, they have a decent chance against an Everton side who are winless in five Premier League games on the road and have scored only two away goals (one from the penalty spot).
Everton's main problem is the lack of a focal point up front since the departure of Romelu Lukaku, which has led to a decrease in their goals per game from 1.63 last season to 0.91 currently.
On the plus side Everton have won two out of three against teams currently in the bottom half, having had a difficult fixture list in the first three months of the season. Both of those wins were at home, however, and their only away match in that category ended in a 2-0 defeat at Leicester.
Palace on draw no bet look solid at 1.784/5 but the odds aren't that appealing. With the goals starting to flow at Selhurst, they look worth chancing for the win at decent odds of 2.568/5.
Unders looks too short
These teams are both in the middle for over/under 2.5 goals (both 55% unders) but their tallies have gone up because they have played a relatively high number of matches against the big six.
Excluding those games, unders have been 67% for both teams. But under 2.5 goals might be a bit short at 1.75/7 given that Palace have started to score at home under Hodgson with two goals in each of their last two games at Selhurst Park.
Anthony Taylor is above average for bookings and it is interesting to note that his two lowest card counts this season came in the most clear-cut wins he has refereed. With this match looking quite tight, the bookings could go on the high side.
Back C Palace win at 2.568/5
Everton have lost just one of their 20 away Premier League games against sides who started the day bottom of the table (W9 D10), losing at Wolves in May 2004. Everton can be backed at 2.245/4 on draw no bet.
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