Burnley v West Ham: Bilic's Hammers can continue steady improvement

Diafra Sakho may get a chance in the starting line-up for the Hammers
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The hosts have started quickly and the visitors slowly, but Andrew Atherley reckons the away side is the one to back in their clash at Turf Moor on Saturday...

"The visitors must have a decent chance if they can get on the scoresheet. Last season their away record when scoring against teams outside the big six was W5 D2 L3."

Recommended Bet
Back West Ham on draw no bet at [2.08]

Burnley v West Ham
Saturday 14 October, 15:00

Burnley off to a flyer

Having survived their first season back in the Premier League by finishing 16th, Burnley are in a surprise sixth place after the first seven games. That makes them the best side outside the big six and they are one place above Liverpool on goal difference.

There are no new injury concerns for Sean Dyche but Jonathan Walters, who has yet to make the starting line-up since his summer move from Stoke and hasn't played since early September, is now expected to be out until Christmas with a knee injury.

Recovery signs for Hammers

West Ham are 15th after an underwhelming start, although their form has picked up since losing their first three games (which were all on the road).

Slaven Bilic's injury list is starting to ease and he is optimistic that will lead to further improvement in the next few weeks.

James Collins, Edimilson Fernandes and Pedro Obiang could all be available.

Diafra Sakho, who scored the late winner in their last match against Swansea, may get a chance in the starting line-up.

Burnley reliant on clean sheet

In a turnaround from last season, Burnley's form has been better on the road this season and their record at Turf Moor is not so impressive.

They have scored only one goal in three home games and that was in the 1-0 win over bottom club Crystal Palace. Their other two home results have been a 1-0 defeat by West Brom and a goalless draw with Huddersfield.

That continues a trend from last season, when their home record was strong (W10 D3 L6) but they were quite reliant on keeping a clean sheet with only four wins out of 13 when they conceded (it is now four out of 14 after the West Brom defeat).

One of the defeats was 2-1 against West Ham in their final game of the season and the visitors must have a decent chance again if they can get on the scoresheet.

Last season their away record when scoring against teams outside the big six was W5 D2 L3 and it is encouraging that they have scored in four of their last five games in all competitions.

Having tightened up all round in recent games, Bilic's side look capable of taking something from the game and the Hammers are the pick at [2.08] on draw no bet.

Low scores common at Turf Moor

Burnley's lack of penetration at home this season points to under 2.5 goals at [1.68]. Since the start of last season, 15 of their 22 home games (68%) have had unders.

It is worth noting that 41% have had under 1.5 goals with all three home results this season having upped that tally. Under 1.5 goals is available at [3].

West Ham's away scores are pretty much a mirror image of Burnley's at home, which makes the goals market hard to judge.

The clincher may be the likelihood of Burnley scoring, which is on the low side judging by this season's results.

Ref Watch

Stuart Attwell takes charge of his third Premier League match of the season, having shown one yellow card in Huddersfield v Southampton and four in Newcastle v Stoke. He is the mid-range for bookings points and hasn't shown a red card in the Premier League for more than two years.

Recommended Bet

Back West Ham on draw no bet at [2.08]

Opta Stat

Burnley have lost five of their previous six Premier League encounters with West Ham United, winning the other clash at Turf Moor in February 2010 (2-1). The Hammers are [2.98] to win here.


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2017/18 P/L

Staked: 10 pts
Returned: 9.08 pts
P/L: -0.92 pts

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