Burnley v Crystal Palace
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
Clarets hoping to translate away form into more home success
Burnley have brushed aside any pre-season negativity surrounding their second season back in the Premier League with a strong start to the campaign. Sean Dyche's side could not have asked for a better result in their opener after stunning champions Chelsea in a 3-2 victory at Stamford Bridge. Considering it took the team until April of last season to win their first away match, it was a dramatic turnaround from their struggles on the road.
The Clarets also claimed an unexpected 1-1 draw at Tottenham Hotspur before the international break which underlined the side are no pushovers. Burnley relied on a superb record at Turf Moor last season although the side were beaten in their first home game last month by West Brom. Nevertheless their early results have been encouraging and suggest the team have enough quality to stay out of trouble again this year.
Pressure growing on new Palace boss
It has been anything but a smooth introduction for new Crystal Palace boss Frank de Boer after a dreadful start which is threatening to end his tenure just weeks into the season. The Eagles have lost all three league games and have yet to score a league goal. This has prompted speculation he will be axed if the side slip up at Burnley this weekend. The Dutchman is [1.57] to be the next manager to leave his post.
Their 3-0 home defeat to newly-promoted Huddersfield Town was a disastrous opener although there was no disgrace in a narrow 1-0 loss to Liverpool at Anfield. But again their form at Selhurst Park badly let them down in their last game as Swansea came away with a 2-0 victory. Palace's problems have been at both ends of the pitch and the club will hope new signing Mamadou Sakho can bring some solidity to the defence following his permanent move from the Reds.
Burnley are worthy favourites at [2.4] and the hosts look a strong bet to win this clash. The Clarets completed the double over Crystal Palace last season and their opponents come into this game in terrible form. Burnley have won six of their eight top-flight matches against the Eagles and Dyche's side are fancied to extend this record with another three points.
Palace are in desperate need of a positive result but there is little in the way of evidence to encourage a bet at [3.5]. The visitors look short enough considering the way in which they have started the season and their lack of goals has to be a big concern. The Eagles will need a significant improvement to win this game and their odds are certainly not big enough to justify backing them.
The draw is available at [3.25] but this bet doesn't really appeal. A point will do Palace no favours and their beleaguered boss needs a win. Only one of the last six clashes between the sides have ended in a draw and the form of Burnley, against Chelsea and Spurs, is much more convincing than their opponents so a home win is expected.
Chris Wood has already made an impact for Burnley following his recent move from Leeds United after the striker scored a dramatic equaliser against Tottenham at Wembley. Wood netted in his last appearance against Palace, for Leicester, and he has an excellent strike rate with 25 goals in his last 48 league matches. He can take advantage of the Eagles' suspect defence and looks worth backing to get off the mark at Turf Moor this weekend.
Ashley Barnes scored a goal in both Premier League games against Crystal Palace last season. The Burnley striker is available at 21/10 (Betfair Sportsbook) to net during this weekend's match with the Eagles.
Michael Oliver takes charge at Turf Moor and the referee has dished out five yellow cards in two matches this season. Oliver sent off five players including Burnley's Jeff Hendrick during the last campaign.
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Simon Mail's 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 3 pts
Returned: 0 pt
P/L: -3 pts