Brighton v Wolves
Those heading to the Amex Stadium hoping for a goal-fest may be a tad disappointed come five o'clock.
Brighton have scored just 10 goals in their nine games so far, Wolves - despite their impressive start - one fewer.
The hosts now look set to be without Glenn Murray after his sickening clash of heads at Newcastle last weekend, one which saw him swallow his tongue. He's been undergoing concussion assessment and while he could yet play, it seems unlikely.
Pascal Gross, who has missed the last five games with an ankle injury, is also facing a fitness fight to make this one and he's another goal threat when in the team.
This is a good time to mention that those two would be the top choices of Chris Hughton to take penalties. In their absence we can't be sure who would step up but Alireza Jahanbakhsh has good claims. He never missed one during his time in Dutch football and scored four last season for AZ. The Iranian is 15/2 for the first goal and 7/2 to net at any time.
If Murray is indeed forced to sit out, club-record signing Jurgen Locadia is set to lead the line but it's fair to say he's not made much of an impression since his arrival in January.
Change at last for Wolves?
Wolves have also struggled for goals with Raul Jimenez their only player to have scored multiple times (and he only has two). Going up against a backline featuring the in-form Lewis Dunk and Shane Duffy, who have won plaudits for their defending in the recent 1-0 wins over West Ham and Newcastle, may make it tough to improve in that area for the visitors.
Boss Nuno Espirito Santo is considering making what would be the first changes to his starting XI this season with Adama Traore in particular pushing to replace Diogo Jota.
Despite the disappointment of a 2-0 home defeat to Watford, defensive changes look less likely. After all, Wolves have already kept four clean sheets, including at West Ham and Crystal Palace.
Draw may suit all
Another here would be most welcome with Nuno wanting to ensure that Watford loss does not become the start of a rut.
They are 2.546/4 to bounce back and win this game, with Brighton, who have already seen off Manchester United and West Ham on home soil, available at 3.259/4. The draw, perhaps the most tempting in the win-draw-win market, trades at 3.259/4.
As already stated, Wolves won't want a losing run to form, while if the hosts are indeed without two of their best players, a point would be far from disastrous for them.
Goals at a premium
In the goals markets, the layers are very much aware of the potential for a lack of goals.
In terms of stats, eight of Wolves' nine games so far have featured under 2.5 goals - the odd one out coming on the first day of the season back in August. For Brighton, five of their nine have gone under that particular line.
Under 2.5 in this one is 8/13 but if that feels a little short, there are other options.
Both teams to score 'no' is one. Offered at 4/5, the stats show that 11 of these teams' combined 18 games so far would have won this bet, including the last three of each side.
But the bet I'm going to plump for is for the game to be goalless at the break - it's 31/20 there are under 0.5 goals in the first half.
Wolves have scored just one goal in the opening 45 minutes this season and five of their last seven games meet the threshold here. Brighton's stats don't back the bet up in the same way but there have only been seven first-half goals in their last seven matches and now they are facing losing their main goal threat, while at the back they've really picked up in the last couple of games.
Same Game Multi
Let's throw together my lack-of-goals selections - under 0.5 goals in the first half, both teams to score 'no' and under 2.5 match goals. If you throw in Wolves to have the most corners - only Burnley have won fewer than Brighton (3.67 per game), while Wolves average 5.78 - and the price climbs to 6.25/1.
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