Bournemouth v C Palace
Saturday 7 April, 15:00
Magic 40 in sight
Bournemouth seem pretty safe in 10th place on 37 points after last week's 2-2 draw at Watford but they will be looking to take this first opportunity to move to the cherished 40-point mark.
Junior Stanislas, who was forced off with a knee injury at Watford, has joined the longer-term injury list that also includes Adam Smith and Tyrone Mings.
Simon Francis and Lys Mousset, both absent last week, could be available again.
Make or break
Palace are clinging to safety in 17th place, two points above the drop zone, after last week's 2-1 home defeat by Liverpool. But Roy Hodgson's side can see an escape route, as they don't have to face another big-six team in their last six matches - a make-or-break run that starts here.
Christian Benteke is a doubt after picking up a groin injury in training. Fellow striker Alexander Sorloth is unavailable with a hamstring injury.
James Tomkins, who missed the Liverpool match with a calf strain, faces a fitness test.
Bakary Sako, Scott Dann, Jason Puncheon, Joel Ward and Jeff Schlupp are long-term absentees.
Zaha could be decisive
Bournemouth have lost only one of their last 12 games against teams outside the big six - one of the early results in that run was a 2-2 draw at Palace - but they have had difficulty putting opponents away, with eight of those 12 games ending as draws.
All three wins during that run were at home, where their recent record against teams outside the big six is W3 D3 L0 since their last defeat by Burnley on November 29.
Palace are equally solid against teams outside the big six and they will be pleased to have a winning chance as they leave behind their recent tough run featuring defeats by Tottenham, Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool in their last five games.
Since they completed their first seven games of the season without a single point, Palace's record against teams outside the big six is W6 D8 L2.
In an evenly poised match, a draw has to be considered at 3.55/2.
Wilfried Zaha could make the difference for Palace, however. With their star attacker in the starting line-up, Palace have not lost against a team outside the big six in 14 matches since a 1-0 defeat at Newcastle in October. They have scored in the last nine of those games, winning five.
Zaha always gives Palace a chance and the visitors appeal on draw no bet at 2.186/5.
Goals look likely
Bournemouth's home games usually produce goals and especially against teams from outside the big six, with eight out of 11 in that category going over 2.5 goals (73%).
The stats are less clear-cut for Palace but the chance of both teams scoring looks high.
Bournemouth are second in the Premier League for games where both teams scored - 59% overall, rising to a league-leading 69% at home. Palace's overall figure is 50% but they have scored in their last 10 games against teams outside the big six, starting with the 2-2 home draw with Bournemouth.
Both teams to score appeals at 1.695/7.
Jon Moss is at the higher end of the card counts in the Premier League, although recent matches have pushed his figures down and overall there is a slender majority for 30 bookings points or fewer.
The Cherries have both scored and conceded in 12 of their last 13 Premier League games, including each of the last seven in a row. Both teams to score is available at 1.695/7.
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