Overs or Unders: Spurs offer away day payday for goal backers

With 19 goals, Tottenham's Harry Kane is joint top scorer in the Premier League
With 19 goals, Tottenham's Harry Kane is joint top scorer in the Premier League
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The hot streak continues. It's now been five winning weeks in a row and 16 winners from the last 20 selections. Can Neil Harvey maintain his fantastic form? Find out in this week's Overs or Unders...

"Twelve of Tottenham's 14 away games this season have been high scoring, including their last 11 in a row. That's a run that's worth betting on to continue"

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.834/5

Saturday

Swansea City v Hull City - 15:00

Eighth in the table looks to be as good as Swansea can do and so the holiday could start here for them. Gary Monk's had another impressive term in charge, but there's really very little left for him to achieve between now and the end of the season. And a lack of incentive could prove harmful to the entertainment value of a team who've already had three low-scoring games from their five home fixtures this year.

Hull though still have plenty to play for. Just three points clear of the drop zone, Steve Bruce will be looking to edge his side further from danger by using the same defensive approach he's employed all season. Only one of Hull's five away games since the turn of the year has been high-scoring. Their last road trip ended in a 0-0 draw at Leicester and Bruce might well settle for more of the same here as the Tigers look to claw their way towards safety.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.654/6


Manchester United v Aston Villa - 15:00

It seems there's no stopping Man United now. Their latest victory, over Liverpool, put them five points clear in the race for the Champions League. It also continued United's run of goals, which has seen them score at least twice in five of their last six games. At home, United have been models of consistency, winning 12 and scoring in 14 of their 15 matches at Old Trafford. And if their latest home game, a 3-0 win over Spurs, was anything to go by then United are starting to hit their stride.

Certainly it's hard to see Aston Villa stopping them. Just three points away from relegation, Villa have been truly dreadful on the road this season. And while the recent 4-0 win at Sunderland will have raised spirits, there's no doubt that coach Tim Sherwood remains under intense pressure. Sherwood is relatively new to top-flight management and could just find himself on the receiving end of a Dutch masterclass here from veteran Louis Van Gaal.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.865/6


Sunday

Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur - 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

Burnley have earned 17 points at home this season, compared to just eight on the road. So there's intense pressure on Sean Dyche's side to make the most of their four remaining home fixtures. And that need to get results has been reflected in the number of goals being scored at Turf Moor. Prior to January, the Clarets had failed to score more than a single goal in 10 home games. But as the threat of relegation began to grow, so did the level of goal action, as Dyche's team scored twice in each of their next three games.

In reality, Burnley have scored in 11 of 15 home fixtures. They are highly motivated to take the initiative here and should have been buoyed by beating Manchester City in their last home game. So for me the Clarets should be heavy odds on to find the net here.

And that bodes well for goals overall, because Spurs have been awash with them on their travels. Twelve of Tottenham's 14 away games this season have been high scoring, including their last 11 in a row. That's a run that's worth betting on to continue. And like Burnley, Spurs have every reason to take the initiative here. Six points away from a Champions League spot, this is now all or nothing territory for Mauricio Pochettino. So with both motivation and form on our side, I'm predicting goals.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.834/5


Sunderland v Newcastle United - 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Dick Advocaat has been brought in to keep Sunderland's heads above water. And positioned one point above the relegation zone, and in charge of an unfamiliar squad, you have to think his approach will be safety first. That's certainly the Advocaat I recall from his time at Zenit St. Petersburg and it's the manager I'm expecting to see on Sunday at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland have a good run of fixtures ahead of them and should stay up - if they can keep their heads. Advocaat is as cool as they come and is unlikely to do anything rash.

The John Carver experiment hasn't exactly paid off for Newcastle. But Carver will be aware he could still salvage some pride and create some fond memories of his tenure if he can defeat his club's oldest rivals. The omens aren't great though, given that Newcastle have only scored in two of their five away games this year. And with Sunderland having scored in only one of their five home games this year, it would seem that a game high on effort but low on quality is on the cards.

Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.728/11


2014/15 Season P/L

Staked: 108pts
Returned: 120.28pts
P/L: +12.28

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