Arsenal are more likely to botch their EFL Cup third-round tie than Liverpool or Everton, says Michael Lintorn as he previews Tuesday's action...
"Arsenal have won a mere two of their past dozen EFL Cup away encounters in 90 minutes."
Recommended Bet: Lay Arsenal to win at Nottingham Forest @ 1.654/6
These matches kick-off at 19:45 on Tuesday
Derby 10.519/2 v Liverpool 1.374/11; The Draw 5.79/2
Efforts to depict Nigel Pearson as the real hero of Leicester's Premier League title triumph last season, the guy who led them to League One and Championship glory and recruited many of their champions before exiting for off-field reasons, have been compromised by his dismal start at Derby.
The Rams are 20th in the Championship with one win and six points from eight games. Most shockingly of all, they have managed just two goals - three times fewer than the next meekest side - topped up with two more in two EFL Cup ties - with all ten of their fixtures this term serving up under 2.5 goals.
Liverpool are still searching for a Premier League clean sheet, yet obtained one away to a bottom-half second-tier club from the midlands, Burton, in the last round of this competition.
Recommended Bet: Back Liverpool to keep a clean sheet @ 2.26/5
Everton 1.584/7 v Norwich 6.411/2; The Draw 4.77/2
Norwich are in fine Championship form, ascending into an automatic promotion place following a third straight victory at Nottingham Forest on Saturday, though they are yet to beat a top-half team at that level away, let alone the squad second in the Premier League and on a five-match winning streak.
The Toffees have been ahead at half time in two of their three home outings under Ronald Koeman, while the Canaries were beaten 3-0 not only at Goodison Park when being relegated in 2015/16, but also on their trip to face Koeman's Southampton earlier in that campaign. Both contests were over by the break.
Recommended Bet: Back Everton/Everton @ 2.47/5
Nottingham Forest 6.25/1 v Arsenal 1.645/8; The Draw 4.3100/30
Arsenal have won a mere two of their past dozen EFL Cup away encounters in 90 minutes, and they appear to be at their worst against opponents outside of the Premier League, with their three results at the grounds of Football League sides since 2011 being a 1-0 loss to Ipswich, shootout flop against Bradford and 3-0 shaming by Sheffield Wednesday.
Combine that with Nottingham Forest's recent record, being defeated just once in their latest six assignments and prevailing in three of those against Wigan, Millwall and Leeds. With the midlanders venturing this far courtesy of 2-1 successes at Doncaster and The Den, the Gunners look to be worth laying.
Recommended Bet: Lay Arsenal to win @ 1.654/6