Arsenal v Leicester: Flat-track bullies to dominate once again

Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey may not be at Arsenal next year but should feature against Leicester
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The Gunners should make it 10 wins from 10 matches in all competitions when they face Leicester at the Emirates Stadium on Monday, says Jasmine Baba...

"In all competitions, Leicester are winless in their last 25 visits to Arsenal (W0-D6-L19), their last win coming in the top-flight in September 1973."

Arsenal v Leicester
Monday October 22, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

Move on up

Has it been good form or have the opposition been weak? Whatever it is, Arsenal are enjoying the run of games which have seen them shoot up the table since their first two defeats against Manchester City and Chelsea.

The score lines of their next few victories seemed to flatter the North London club but in truth, some of them didn't come without a fight. There was a nervy performance against Cardiff where they scraped through 3-2, they went 1-0 down at home to West Ham before coming back 3-1 and even their 2-0 wins against Everton and Watford looked shaky at times.

However, their best performance of the season came away at Fulham before the international break. Unai Emery changed formation to a rare 4-4-2 in their 5-1 win away at Craven Cottage with Danny Welbeck starting alongside Alexandre Lacazette. More interestingly, Aaron Ramsey and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang were left on the bench.

With Mesut Ozil expected to be back from injury after missing the Fulham victory, it's more than likely Emery will revert to the side that faced Watford, with Rob Holding keeping his spot in defence, especially after Sokratis Papastathopoulos suffered a slight ankle strain on international duty. Welbeck and Petr Cech both face fitness tests for Monday night. Ramsey is likely to return ahead of Alex Iwobi.

Leicester are trouble, one way or the other

Leicester's opening start to this season is their best since winning the title back in 2016, taking 12 points in eight (W4-D0-L4) and sit in 10th position in the table just behind Watford. Claude Puel has greatly improved the side and even in their defeats to the bigger sides to Manchester United and Liverpool, they've pushed them somewhat close.

But there have been bad results too, their 4-2 defeat away at Bournemouth and their 2-1 loss at home to Everton just before the international break. In both matches, Wes Morgan was sent off and highlights just some of the Foxes' disciplinary troubles.

Leicester lead the way in disciplinary points mainly because they've picked up three red cards in eight Premier League matches, but their bookings and dismissals are also costing them points.

In the defeat to Bournemouth, Harry Maguire was booked after 13 minutes which weakened his game. No more could he jump in at a 50-50 challenge or get in front of an attacker aggressively, which contributed in the Foxes going 3-0 down at half time. Morgan's red card just before the 70th minute, to go down to ten men, was never going to help from there.

Then a couple of weeks later, it was a déjà vu moment with the defender getting his second booking again, in the 63rd minute against Everton. It was a bit different this time, as the match was perfectly poised at 1-1, with Leicester just getting back into the swing of things after going 1-0 down, unfortunately the dismissal was a gamechanger as the Toffees took away all three points.

Maybe Leicester's defence will improve as Johnny Evans should make way for the suspended Morgan, as Michael Cox puts it in his Tactical View.

Hosts overwhelming favourites

In all competitions, Leicester are winless in their last 25 visits to Arsenal (W0-D6-L19), their last win coming in the top-flight in September 1973. One of the most recent, memorable encounters of this fixture was 14th February 2016, when Leicester were temporarily halted on their way to the title. Welbeck's last-gasp winner made it 2-1 to the Gunners, with commentator Peter Drury bellowing, "There's your fairytale!"

Taking in account Arsenal's record at home over the Foxes, as well as their current form, it's not difficult to see why the hosts are [1.53] to win on Monday night. However, if you've watched the Gunners, we know that price is too short for a team that does like to concede a goal or two, especially when these two play against each other as the Both Teams To Score market has landed in six of the last eight matches. I'll be backing Arsenal to win and Both Teams to Score at 17/10 on the Sportsbook.

Could Vardy score against Arsenal again?

Arsenal likes to concede a goal and Jamie Vardy likes to score against them. Six goals from the striker from six matches v Arsenal makes for an eye-catching statistic. As Arsenal are still quite open in defence, I think he will hit the net at least once here. You can back him at 13/8 (Betfair Sportsbook)

Same Game Multi

Using the Same Game Multi feature on the sportsbook, I can put together Arsenal to win, Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 goals and Jamie Vardy to Score Anytime at around 5/1.

Jasmine Baba's P/L, 2018/19

Staked: 2pt
Returned: 6.45pt
P/L: +4.45pt

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